Friday, August 29, 2008


(8:37 AM) PhotosbyDill: Way to go Tom
tomthetrader: yes ..very trying day yesterday but paying off noiw
tomthetrader: now
tomthetrader: my
tomthetrader: fingers are too big for my laptop
(8:39 AM) PhotosbyDill: So you did not answer my question: how is the wet country My son and family leave Sunday to go to Florida
(8:41 AM) thomas_Poland: good morning
(8:41 AM) berniectx: good morning all
tomthetrader: It is wonderful now
tomthetrader: perfect tourist weather
tomthetrader: they should have a good time
tomthetrader: But Monday we expect hannah to be visiting from the east /
tomthetrader: hope they are OK
tomthetrader: are they heading south of orlando /
tomthetrader: Here goes Oil and there goes the dollar and we are making money
(8:44 AM) thomas_Poland: ok open positions are:
(8:45 AM) thomas_Poland: 1 ES short 1272.50; 5 ES short 1290.00; 5 ES short 1298; 5 ER2 short at 736; 3 NQ short at 1920; 100 IOWUV at 2.00; 50 QQQVU at 1.57
(8:45 AM) thomas_Poland: hope that is all
(8:45 AM) PhotosbyDill: They are moving there she travelling nurse
(8:46 AM) PhotosbyDill: Yes north of Miami I forget the suburb name
(8:47 AM) berniectx: Have you closed any of those positions Tom?
tomthetrader: yes
tomthetrader: I am scaling out of profitable positions and some break evens but a lot of work ahead to get to cash
tomthetrader: will not make it on several positions as you all know but should be able to make several
(8:57 AM) thomas_Poland: I have also only one left from 1291
(8:57 AM) thomas_Poland: hope to cover at breakeven
(8:57 AM) thomas_Poland: maybe go long for next two days but after that ... we go down
tomthetrader: Audio at 9:15 am
tomthetrader: fills on NQ ES
(8:59 AM) thomas_Poland: you should have some profit Tom form 1298
(8:59 AM) thomas_Poland:
(9:00 AM) thomas_Poland: that is good
(9:00 AM) thomas_Poland: And if we are lucky you can breakeven 1290?
tomthetrader: very good job guys
(9:03 AM) PhotosbyDill: excuse stupidity but what is NQ ES Futures?
tomthetrader: 1292.50
tomthetrader: NQ are the Nasdaq futures
tomthetrader: ES are the S and P futures
tomthetrader: ER2 are the Russell futures
tomthetrader: YM is the dow futures
(9:05 AM) PhotosbyDill: I suspected but just got data feed on futures and learnig thanks for your help Tom
tomthetrader: TTT was the idiot that got us in this mess
tomthetrader: but will still make a few K
(9:05 AM) PhotosbyDill: Learning Reg keyboard and still fingers too big?
tomthetrader: mine are too big for this laptop ...
(9:05 AM) PhotosbyDill: Chew on that TTT woman
tomthetrader: hoping to get a upgrade when my ship comes in
(9:06 AM) PhotosbyDill: I will furnish the wind from Colorado if you get the sail boat
(9:07 AM) ctmhou: Tom, I was talking to a friend the other day and he says that he has a friend who tades only futures and routinely trades in 200 - 300 contracts at a time. Can this really happen? He says the guy is a multi millionaire.
tomthetrader: Yes most definitely
(9:08 AM) ctmhou: WOW! And I am finding difficulty trading 1 - 2 contracts.
tomthetrader: we are down to 6 ES short and 5 ER2 short plus options we should do OK on
tomthetrader: This is the most we ahve ever owned I think
tomthetrader: in Traders
tomthetrader: Thomas you agree
(9:09 AM) thomas_Poland: I think this is not as bad as it looked like
(9:09 AM) thomas_Poland: Hope we can have some selloff at the beginning to cover all shorts
(9:09 AM) ctmhou: What makes you not trade more quantity in futures, Tom?
tomthetrader: FEAR
(9:10 AM) PhotosbyDill: I liked that answer TOM
(9:10 AM) ctmhou: How much money is involved with those futures that you have?
(9:10 AM) billb1947: is Tom speaking? i'm not getting any audio
tomthetrader: You have to really have conviction and money ...we are based on 200K in traders and over 1.9 mil in the main fund
tomthetrader: audio in 5 minutes
tomthetrader: Testing now
(9:11 AM) billb1947: y
(9:11 AM) ctmhou: yes
(9:11 AM) wclegg: y
(9:11 AM) billb1947: thx
(9:11 AM) CodyMadison: y
(9:11 AM) PhotosbyDill: y
(9:11 AM) ajaysunder: y
(9:11 AM) lkmcd1: y
(9:11 AM) csu30: y
(9:11 AM) berniectx: y
(9:11 AM) ajayvee: y
tomthetrader: OIL soaring
tomthetrader: DIG
tomthetrader: UNG
tomthetrader: Look at them go
(9:11 AM) thomas_Poland: it is incredible how one day can change feeling
tomthetrader: YES YES YES
(9:12 AM) thomas_Poland: I lost some money yesterday and now I feel like total loser???
(9:12 AM) ctmhou: Play DTO after the hurricane.........
tomthetrader: Our indicators were on ..."just early"
(9:12 AM) thomas_Poland: incredible .. I just thought about that
tomthetrader: YesCraig
tomthetrader: can start late ctoday
tomthetrader: we are back to a manageable 60% short and will be about 40% short after 9:45 am
tomthetrader: Thank God
(9:13 AM) thomas_Poland: oil up market does not move ?
tomthetrader: it will
(9:13 AM) thomas_Poland: Good traders have luck
tomthetrader: but we need to protect cash
tomthetrader: yes ...seems the harder I work the luckier I get
(9:14 AM) thomas_Poland: And I was stopped on 1300?? Who the f... put stops like that?
(9:14 AM) ctmhou: Amazing how that works...........
tomthetrader: 1301 was our level for 3 days could have made you some zlodskies but you have had a dream month !
(9:14 AM) thomas_Poland: I really feel like loser .. after one and half months almost only winning trades I made something such stupid
(9:15 AM) thomas_Poland: YES Tom ... like I screamed yesterday .. mistake
(9:15 AM) ctmhou: Thomas, you're going to be banned with the language. My daughter might walk in........
(9:15 AM) thomas_Poland: Who the fork??
(9:15 AM) ctmhou: OH!
(9:16 AM) thomas_Poland: What did you think?
(9:16 AM) thomas_Poland: tell us
(9:16 AM) ctmhou:
(9:17 AM) nimesh_: what price did u sell ES?
(9:18 AM) ajaysunder: Hi Tom. Sell the IWm Puts also by 9:45 ?
(9:18 AM) nimesh_: er2 a hold?
(9:19 AM) pupster1: just got in....quick update in Traders.....any sells? thx.
(9:20 AM) berniectx: My ES shorts are from little lower 1287 hold or let go?
(9:21 AM) nimesh_: wow, that is big move tom
(9:21 AM) csu30: Sell oil calls or hold over weekend?
(9:21 AM) nimesh_: so nq, not much more to fall?
(9:21 AM) nimesh_: buy to hedge?
(9:22 AM) youngamerican68_1: HAL calls?
(9:23 AM) pupster1: just walked into chat....did Tom sell any of his positions...curious.... Thanks
(9:25 AM) Docqb: yes deay
(9:25 AM) Docqb: dear
(9:26 AM) mickymax_ttt: If you are expecting to go lower..... why are selling our puts??
tomthetrader: Pupster to get audio click push to talk
(9:27 AM) mickymax_ttt: did you cover that before I got on a few moments ago?
(9:27 AM) mickymax_ttt: pupster..... also try going to 'favorites' tab above, and select the TTT hedgefund again.......
(9:27 AM) mickymax_ttt: it will log you in and out of the room quickly
(9:28 AM) pupster1: got the message..thx
(9:29 AM) thomas_Poland: I have to stop crying on my stop level and get to work
(9:29 AM) thomas_Poland: I will cover my 1291 long at breakeven or maybe will try to profit to 1284
(9:30 AM) mickymax_ttt: are you guys holding iwm puts or calls??? I wasnt on yesterday...
tomthetrader: we are selling anything for a PROFIT and holding anything with a loss until break even or better
(9:33 AM) pupster1: anyone with a quick quote on the er2's
tomthetrader: we are now about 40% short
tomthetrader: ER 2
(9:33 AM) pupster1: y
(9:35 AM) DE_TTT: Reports have begun to circulate in Moscow that Russian oil companies are under orders from the Kremlin to prepare for a supply cut to Germany and Poland through the Druzhba (Friendship) pipeline.
(9:35 AM) ajayvee: was there any prognosis on HAL?
tomthetrader: E-MINI RUSSELL 2000 Sep ’08 09:23:52 743.60 -1.40 743.60 746.10 742.70
(9:35 AM) pupster1: thx
(9:35 AM) DE_TTT: Any move would be timed to coincide with an emergency EU summit in Brussels, where possible sanctions against Russia are on the agenda... A supply cut at this delicate juncture could drive crude prices much higher
(9:36 AM) pupster1: i'm short a profitable.
tomthetrader: 100 IOWUV at 2.00; 50 QQQVU at 1.57
tomthetrader: These are our trouble contracts
(9:43 AM) thomas_Poland: 200 sma here
(9:43 AM) RV_trader: Stalking RIMM for aq short gap down under prior value area lows - offereing 125
(9:44 AM) RV_trader: air into 119 and 116 if we can stay under this prior value area 125
(9:45 AM) lkmcd1: Tom if holding es short, would you add a stop or keep it open without a stop?
(9:45 AM) pupster1: sorry for CAPS.
(9:46 AM) pupster1:
(9:46 AM) DE_TTT: On RIMM, rumor that new Blackberry Bold not coming out on AT&T until October
(9:47 AM) nimesh_: rut has 25% small banks
(9:47 AM) nimesh_: that was the reason for big move yesterday
(9:47 AM) nimesh_: symbol kre
(9:47 AM) nimesh_: like xlf
(9:48 AM) nimesh_: er 2 green
(9:48 AM) pupster1: sold 5 er2's at profit at lows.
tomthetrader: Good trade
(9:50 AM) pupster1: thx.
tomthetrader: very nice ....someone beat RUT
(9:50 AM) pupster1: it was an overnight:O
tomthetrader: No one here has done it ...except some options traders
(9:50 AM) pupster1: :0
(9:52 AM) nimesh_: will that turn around?
(9:52 AM) berniectx: NOK getting hammered today didn't your email say to sell positions?
(9:53 AM) berniectx: OK thanks
(9:55 AM) nimesh_: what just happened?
tomthetrader: consumer sentiment up
tomthetrader: higher than expected
tomthetrader: 63.00 61.2
tomthetrader: NAZ LOD
(9:56 AM) DE_TTT: Aug Michigan Sentiment 63.0 vs 62.0 consensus
(9:56 AM) youngamerican68_1: why would the market take that as a negative?
(9:56 AM) nimesh_: weird
(9:57 AM) youngamerican68_1: maybe the market was hoping for a bigger surprise ala GDP yesterday
(9:59 AM) RV_trader: RIMM new LOD
(10:01 AM) pupster1: still a short against todays highs if you're willing to take the risk of a $1
(10:02 AM) ctmhou: 40 members.........WOW!
(10:02 AM) DE_TTT: SMH finally getting smoked
(10:03 AM) Grey Guru: Is is OK to be holding TWM now into the weekend or should I sell?
(10:03 AM) DE_TTT: DELL was the first tech company to talk about material slowing in Asia, I think
(10:04 AM) mickymax_ttt: tom.... it is a little confusing, you are getting out of puts but getting into twm.... ?
(10:05 AM) Grey Guru: Thanks
(10:06 AM) pupster1: shorting IWM against todays highs
(10:06 AM) mickymax_ttt: I see, makes a lot of sense...... thanks.
(10:06 AM) berniectx: AD LOD now -742
(10:08 AM) Grey Guru: Also holding UNG and up on it today is that a hold or take the money and run?
(10:09 AM) nimesh_: i think we should see 73.50 iwm at lesti see heavier volume today than yesterday
(10:10 AM) Grey Guru: I may have to change my handle
(10:11 AM) Grey Guru:
(10:11 AM) nimesh_: lol
(10:11 AM) thomas_Poland: What did I do wrong?
(10:11 AM) thomas_Poland:
(10:11 AM) pupster1: funny S%$!
(10:11 AM) thomas_Poland: good
(10:11 AM) thomas_Poland: I'm crazy
(10:11 AM) aszag: dig is coming down from its high
(10:12 AM) ajayvee: QID doing well today
(10:12 AM) thomas_Poland: possible range day
(10:14 AM) berniectx: Both XLF and ES have pretty large gaps from yesterdays run up, think they close early next week to the downside?
tomthetrader: out of IOWUV
tomthetrader: Stilllong some er2 qqqvu es
(10:16 AM) PhotosbyDill: Not trading today TOM just looking at some new ideas
(10:16 AM) DE_TTT: If you haven't seen it yet, it's worth reading the Telegraph's article stating that reports have begun to circulate in Moscow that Russian oil companies are under orders from the Kremlin to prepare for a supply cut to Germany and Poland, potentially on Monday
(10:16 AM) DE_TTT: While Hurricane Gustav is dominating the headlines today as it approaches Louisiana, further threats or actions taken by Russia over the weekend against Western Europe hold the potential to have a much more severe disruption in the energy markets.
(10:17 AM) DE_TTT: Just fyi...seems interesting and not getting much attention
(10:21 AM) aszag: dig is at 87
(10:21 AM) nimesh_: tom, nasdaq trin at 2.72
(10:21 AM) DE_TTT: yw
(10:21 AM) nimesh_: does that tell u anything?
(10:26 AM) berniectx: Thomas are you upsetting your neighbor...they have a big stick it seems
(10:26 AM) thomas_Poland: I really hate this country bernie
(10:27 AM) thomas_Poland: not people .. but country
tomthetrader: We sold our QQQVU ...we are holding IOWUV
(10:27 AM) thomas_Poland: They have conflict in the constitution???
tomthetrader: Thomas will post our positions short left
tomthetrader: as we try to go to cash to 20% short
(10:27 AM) nimesh_: thomas, 1291 hit on es, u covering?
(10:28 AM) thomas_Poland: 100 IOWUV at 2.00; 1 ES short at 1272.50; 5 ES short at 1290; 5 ER2 short at 736;
(10:28 AM) thomas_Poland: Those are official positions
(10:28 AM) nimesh_: are we going to bounce here, tom?
(10:29 AM) nimesh_: what does the trinq at 2.7 tell u, historically?
(10:30 AM) pupster1: es retracement from 1263 lows on 8-26 to highs gives you @1286 and 50% retrace gives @ 1280.75
(10:31 AM) pupster1: 61.8 retrece would be that 1st stop.
(10:32 AM) nimesh_: wil er2 and es "catch up", or will the indices fall the same percentages?
tomthetrader: again we took a great profit in the QQQVU
tomthetrader: and are holding onto the other positions
(10:36 AM) pupster1: looking for 73.6 on IWM
(10:37 AM) pupster1: AT A MINIMUM
(10:37 AM) pupster1: there I go again...sorry.
(10:39 AM) pupster1: shoul've shorted that RIMM....good call.
(10:42 AM) Alert: Breaking News: AP reports Sarah Palin McCain's running mate
(10:43 AM) mickymax_ttt: who is sarah palin???
(10:43 AM) erndog9: alaska gov??? i think
(10:43 AM) erndog9: strong conservative if that's her
(10:43 AM) thomas_Poland: ok I will cover my short at 1284 or breakeven .. whatever comes first
(10:43 AM) thomas_Poland: and I hate my self for what I did yesterday
tomthetrader: yes
tomthetrader: yes
tomthetrader: yes
tomthetrader: yes
tomthetrader: and yes
tomthetrader: covering es
tomthetrader: now
(10:45 AM) thomas_Poland: all ?
(10:45 AM) pupster1: shoul've would've...er2 short...scared $...oh well.
tomthetrader: except 1
(10:45 AM) thomas_Poland: or those from 1290?
(10:45 AM) thomas_Poland: ok
(10:45 AM) thomas_Poland: from 1272.50 left?
(10:45 AM) thomas_Poland: What level you covered?
tomthetrader: 1287.50
tomthetrader: er 2 and iwm
tomthetrader: die
tomthetrader: making money
tomthetrader: can't lose now
(10:49 AM) thomas_Poland: That is really incredible
(10:49 AM) thomas_Poland:
tomthetrader: from despair to king
(10:50 AM) thomas_Poland: I could almost feel how everybody hated you yesterday
tomthetrader: back to a strong
(10:50 AM) thomas_Poland: I lost money and you make money ..
(10:50 AM) thomas_Poland: on those same positions .. almost
(10:51 AM) thomas_Poland: again .. like last few months
(10:51 AM) berniectx: I want 1286 please
(10:51 AM) thomas_Poland: it is always my fault
(10:51 AM) pupster1: 61.8 retrace hit on es..just about.
(10:52 AM) thomas_Poland: Don't Fib me here popster ! Die bulls !
(10:52 AM) thomas_Poland:
(10:52 AM) pupster1:
(10:53 AM) pupster1: my short term short on IWM magic.
(10:53 AM) RV_trader: RIMM still making new lows
(10:53 AM) pupster1: nice..rv
(10:57 AM) nimesh_: xlf down only .25, kind of ridiculous
(10:58 AM) pupster1: es back inside its sideways trendchannel
(10:59 AM) pupster1: on the 60 minute
tomthetrader: we are only 33% short
tomthetrader: rimm tremendous call
tomthetrader: qqqq puts unreal from yestyerday
(11:02 AM) ajaysunder: Hope IWM puts also breakeven soon..
tomthetrader: Yes ..the last of the problems
tomthetrader: but if you didn't make money today were not here yesterday !
(11:03 AM) Docqb: tom, if you're an idiot, i need to join that club.....
(11:04 AM) youngamerican68_1: Tom before joining here I would have taken a ton of unrealized losses yesterday.. thanks for you guidance
(11:05 AM) bloomert: Second that. I made money today, THANK YOU TTT!
(11:06 AM) ajayvee: made money on QID calls, still have some going up.
(11:06 AM) nimesh_: rimm still going lower
(11:07 AM) Docqb: lol, tom, good idea....
(11:08 AM) berniectx: how do you see the rest of the day Tom?...near the lows or bounce?
(11:08 AM) ctmhou: It should get better with Tradingrooms, right?
(11:08 AM) pupster1: TTT is all about making millionaires 1 at a time
(11:09 AM) ctmhou: That's what I need.
(11:09 AM) PhotosbyDill: Hey Tom it is easy being a great trader when I am sitting on the side lines with good profits for the week. No money on the line today makes my indicators look like geniuses
(11:09 AM) ctmhou: I missed that.....
(11:10 AM) Docqb: tom, we're working our butts off on the new stuff
(11:10 AM) ctmhou: And much appreciated, Tom.
(11:12 AM) PhotosbyDill: You do a great job Tom
tomthetrader: you guys are the ones to be thanked
tomthetrader: you all know if it wasn't for you ...I would be talking to myself
tomthetrader: and my experiences would be wasted
tomthetrader: so let me share my indicators and knowledge with you before I retire
(11:14 AM) ssny2004: Tom I do not believe you will leave in 2010, there is only so much tubing & golfing you can do in a day
(11:14 AM) ssny2004: this is more fun
tomthetrader: please take a look at cementing a position for 2009 while we have the current members only offer of $150 off
tomthetrader: it is going to be quite a 16 months for a very little money per day
tomthetrader: $499 will guarantee you will be on the ground floor as we will cap our spots here
tomthetrader: and we will have a great group
tomthetrader: and thanks to all of you who have already paid for 2009 !
tomthetrader: It shows a deep commitment to me and TTT
tomthetrader: we will have all new web site and
tomthetrader: and should be a Huge succes
tomthetrader: so take a look and lock in your seats for next year now

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This quarter 419 trades 321 winners 56 losers 42 break even 76.61 Win %

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