Sunday, October 14, 2012

CORRECTION ENDS NEW TARGET 1500 SPX YEAR END

For the big money ...sell your TZA and BUY TNA TQQQ and UPRO Tom 24/7 Join my elite service at http://www.ttthedge.com

Sunday, September 16, 2012

How To Play the Upcoming Correction

Hi , If you are a aggressive Trader you might want to short using TZA as the small caps will get hurt the worst in the month ahead but if you want to ride it out in cash or short the EURO...OK...fact is we need a scary swift 3 week fall and it will be a buying opp at 1396-1400 Cash pre e-lection.. If you want my daily comments and trades sent to you live daily 5-10 e-mails per day ...join now ! Tom

Monday, September 10, 2012

3-8% Correction Underway TTT

http://www.ttthedge.com http://www.mrtopstep.com We called another top...now how soon to buy ...not til after September 21st !

Saturday, August 25, 2012

1475 OR BUST KEEPING TTT ON TOP

Join today and get daily 2x ETF trades every session Tom

Tuesday, July 10, 2012

Saturday, June 30, 2012

WE ARE BACK ! TTT

Hi , All I can say is TTT Buy signals work wonders and BUY QQQ to 68.55 Tom

Monday, April 30, 2012

TTT BUY SIGNAL HITS NEW HIGHS

Five days ago, the bears seemed to have everything going their way. After one of the best first quarter performances in years, the stock market was overbought, sentiment had become too upbeat (or at the very least, traders had become more than a little complacent), and hedge fund managers were falling all over themselves trying to play catch up with their benchmarks (aka the S&P 500). Thus, as I wrote on March 28th, it was time to prepare for some sort of a correction, pullback, or sloppy period. In that column, we talked about some simple ways to prepare for what appeared to be an inevitable corrective phase by raising some cash, adding some volatility to portfolios via the VXX (iPath VIX Short-Term), VXZ (iPath VIX Mid-Term), or TVIX (VelocityShares 2X VIX), as well as hedging a bit of long exposure via the SH (ProShares Short S&P 500) or SDS (ProShares UltraShort S&P 500). Although predictions really and truly aren't my thing, this one was spot on as the market peaked three days later and the SPX managed to lose about -4.5% in just five sessions. On April 10th, with the indices diving in earnest, it felt like the bad-old days of 2011 were back. Intraday volatility had returned. The European Sovereign Debt Crisis was making a comeback thanks to spiking yields in Italy and Spain as well as fears that France would be the next problem (there were rumors daily that a downgrade of France's sovereign debt was imminent). There was the obvious slowdown that was occurring in China. There was the falling expectations for earnings in the U.S. (analyst downgrades to earnings forecasts far exceeded upgrades during the pre-announcement period). There was the fact that the economic data around the globe (specifically the global PMI and ISM readings) were faltering. And it had become clear that the momentum in the jobs market that had been building in the U.S. was fading fast. Oh, and lest we forget, the technical picture was becoming worrisome at that time as the DJIA and S&P looked like they were falling off of a cliff. And then the bears even got Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG) on their side as these tech heavyweights had held up beautifully during the initial phases of the decline. Heck, while the S&P appeared to be breaking down on April 10th, AAPL was hitting another all-time high. But as every seasoned manager knows, the bears get to EVERYTHING eventually, so it was unnerving to see AAPL finally start to succumb to the sellers on April 11th. In short, things didn't look good. But then Apple's earnings and hope for additional stimulus from Bernanke & Co. (aka "another QE fix") intervened. And just like that, the indices rebounded, aided in no small part by Apple's $50-point pop on 4/25. My apologies for the replay of history here this morning. However, as I've said a time or twenty, it is important to understand how and why things unfold in this game. And the bottom line is that although the bear camp had just about everything in their favor from April 3rd through April 25th, they weren't able to get anything more than a garden variety pullback going. Thus, it appears that we may have seen the worst of the corrective phase. But... (You knew that was coming, right?) While the correction may have ended, this does not mean that the consolidation phase that I've been yammering on about for weeks has. So, unless and until the bulls can push the Dow above 13,300, the S&P above 1420, and/or the NASDAQ above 3125, we should probably continue to play the game using consolidation-phase rules. However, if the bulls do manage to break on through to the other side for more than a day, then feel free to break out the champagne.

Friday, April 6, 2012

TTT ANNOUNCES 1st TTT BUY SIGNAL OF 2012

If you join today risk free....you will get the details on how to make a literal fortune this Month...Click to join via Pay Pal Today !

Hi ,

Through my 36 years of trading I have a setup called the TTT Buy Signal which is reached when 15 proprietary Indicators are hit on a 1-5 day swing trade basis. After the Non Farm Payrolls disappointed the ES FUTURES Shot off the 1st TTT BUY SIGNAL of 2012 !

The winning % for these signals is above 84% so over 25% of random wins.


Nooners will go long UPRO at Monday Average prices of 9:30 a.m. and 9:45 a.m.


Traders are entering the ESM12 at 1372-1373 area for 1st entry ...to 75% and add last entry when SPX cash opens.


This system is based off SPX cash and VIX as well as hundreds of sentiment and momentum indicators boxed into 1 15 indicator BUY signal.

We will see if it works out from The Official signal on ES Futures at 1372-3

Nooners BUY UPRO

TTT Membership Traders will go LIVE Monday !


Remember our options and stock earnings service starts Monday also with a Big Big trade possible !


Look forward to seeing you Monday with a FRESH NEW BUY TTT STYLE SIGNAL !!!!


Thank you and Happy Easter and Passover to you all !

Tom The Trader




Tuesday, April 3, 2012

AAPL

Foxconn’s Chinese labor issues? Hot-running iPads? Global 4G issues?

Not a problem Monday as AAPL once again took off like a rocket, +19.08 or + 3.2%, closing at $618.63.

And it looks like a higher open again today, trading over $630 area as we write this.

Now, how much of this increase has to do with any real news is debatable, despite a little known analyst coming out with the highest target we have seen yet, $1,001. (FactSet has the average AAPL target of 39 covering analysts at $678).

It might not have hurt that Consumer Reports came out with a story defusing their prior comments on “hot-running” iPads, saying, “Consumers other than serious gamers should find little of concern in our extended tests, on either the heat or recharging issues." The iPad was given essentially rave reviews, and according to eNews: “Consumer Reports has put the new Apple iPad at the top of its latest tablet list. The magazine's editors liked the new iPad enough to recalibrate their ratings system.”

But we think AAPL’s move has more to do with last week’s end-of quarter games and some positioning in front of the earnings season, but that is just our opinion.

Which brings up the AAPL story we really want to talk about.

We have seen variations of this story from about six different financial news sources and just heard it again on Bloomberg Radio, so we thought it might be worth just a quick mention:

“NEWSFLASH: Apple’s strong stock performance has helped lift the S&P and tech indices!”

The real point being made in these pieces is just how outsized AAPL’s performance has become and its impact (and risk) to the indices.

Five different major investment houses are now putting out quarterly S&P earnings estimates (and therefore SPX projections) based on the S&P with and without AAPL earnings. Not that they expect Apple to mysteriously disappear, but rather to get another take on the health, or lack thereof, of earnings seasons in a broader market context.

According to BusinessInsider:

“Analyzing the market sans-Apple is becoming a more and more popular sport on Wall Street. A new report from Barclays' Barry Knap adds to the body of literature, looking at S&P earnings sans-Apple: As we head into 1Q12 earnings season, much like last quarter, AAPL is expected to have another sizable effect on index earnings and margins, masking otherwise less-than-stellar trends. Earnings growth is estimated at just 1.4% year over year, and about zero excluding AAPL.” (note that is one specific analyst’s take on the upcoming earnings season).
Ned Davis Research is quoted in Fortune and Barron’s with a different take, but making basically the same point:

“Last week, Dan Sanborn of Ned Davis Research took another look at the S&P 500 Q4 2011 earnings prism and saw an even wider spread. Now, according to Sanborn, the S&P index's total earnings growth drops from 7.8% year over year with Apple to just 2.7% without. Sanborn writes that within the tech sector, Q4 2011 earnings growth was 19.6% with Apple included, but just 3.3% without Apple. Sanborn notes, however, that Apple’s earnings as a percentage of total Standard & Poor’s 500 index companies earnings is 4.8%, which he writes is about in line with the 4.7% average represented by the top earner in the S&P 500 going back to 1980.”
All right, so Apple is having a huge impact, but perhaps no more than other mega-caps have had in the past. What are we supposed to take away from that information and implications for the upcoming earnings season?

Perhaps a few things:

If AAPL outperforms again in its usual fashion, the upcoming earnings season lift to the S&P could be higher than many expect. A relatively mediocre earnings season, which is being widely predicted, could turn out significantly better than expected.
Barclays Capital‘s equity strategists Barry Knapp and Eric Slover seem to support this thesis, writing that Apple gains make up 15% of the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index’s 12% rise this year, which they characterize as the stock “contributing over four times its weight in the index.” However, they do see some “concentration risk” in Apple’s large effect.
Other analysts have contended that if AAPL grows to over 5% of the S&P market cap, that could have a negative contradictory effect, with some number of actively managed funds being forced to sell AAPL due to charter provisions limiting percent of the fund in any one issue. We are not sure how impactful that really could be, but it is floating out there as a theory.
Other analysts take the exact opposite POV, saying that AAPL’s status now as a dividend-payer opens up a whole new category of funds being “permitted” to buy the stock.
But in the final analysis, all that really matters is whether or not AAPL will continue its “almost unbroken” streak of massive upside surprises on April 24th (date not confirmed).
For the past four quarters, AAPL has “surprised”as follows: +19.2%, +33.6%, -4.6%, +36.5%
According to most sources, the consensus for the March quarter is for Apple to earn $9.78 per share on revenues approaching $35.9 billion, annual increases year over year of +52.8% and +45.5% respectively.
With a five-year history of annual growth of +65.9%, these numbers look like they could be achievable in theory without much of a stretch, although growth for the next five years is estimated to “slow” to a mere +19.8%.
So, in the words of Doug Kass, will it remain an NBA market this year or not—Nothing But Apple?




Saturday, March 24, 2012

LAST BULL LEG IN GOLD SEE HOW TO PLAY IT

I have 2x my monet on this trade 16 times in the past 12 years and now maybe 20x as this Bull finally parolically goes up.


Join today and get my daily trades e-mailed to you !

Tom



Tuesday, March 20, 2012

JOIN TODAY AND I WILL GIVE YOU A TRADE THAT WILL DOUBLE YOUR MONEY IN 30 DAYS

All you have to do is join to become one of my Elite Traders.

I have the best record in the business

Join today for my 2x your money.

Tom The Trader




Tuesday, March 13, 2012

IF YOU JOIN TODAY 10 stocks you can still buy free 50% gainers

BX RF KKR HES MUR FWLT WLT RIO APC GOOG All you have to do is join !


Technical Talk: March 13, 2012

Our Current Take:

There are times, such as last fall, when the stock market game is incredibly difficult. And then there are other times when the game is fairly straightforward. The good news is that we are now experiencing the latter. The bottom line is simple - the trend is up and the indices are at new highs for the cycle. So, for today at least, the game is about staying onboard the bull trend.

We would consider being short-term buyers at: A close over 1374 on S&P 500

We would consider being short-term sellers: A close below 1357 on the S&P 500

Trend and Momentum Indicators:

Short-Term Trend: The s.t. trend is once again positive. And unless the bears make a big comeback today, it is likely to stay that way.

Intermediate-Term Trend: With the indices at new highs for the cycle, prices above their moving averages, and the moving averages also moving higher, it is safe to say that the intermediate-term trend remains positive.

Market Internals: Our TBC models are positive this morning and confirming the rally.

TBC = Trend-and-Breadth-Confirm Model
Market Momentum: Our momentum models are end-of-day based. As such, we will be looking at these indicators closely tomorrow to see if they confirm the bulls' latest efforts.

Support/Resistance Zones for S&P 500:


Current Support: 1340

Current Resistance: 1375
Early Warning Indicators:

Overbought/Oversold Condition: No surprise here... The market is once again overbought from both a short- and intermediate-term perspective.

Investor Sentiment: Sentiment is only modestly negative at the present time. We will be on the lookout for a return to extreme levels.



TIME TO JOIN TODAY

A complete set of trading data is available via Google spreadsheets at this link: Annual 2012 Spreadsheet.



Discussion of results:
Â"Overall we can not be more pleased with our results. The 2nd half of the year was clearly our strength, and although we missed on the 2x gains we strive for in the IRA, our Traders 4x performance more than made up the difference. The 2nd quarter presented some unique challenges, one of which was health, with that behind us we expect to be able to roll into 2012 and maintain the momentum we have from Q3 and Q4.Â" says Tom Malone, CEO Founder - TTTHedge.com

Â"Cathy Cullen, our Mini account trader continues to impress everyone, posting increasing gains each quarter while trading one of the most demanding and rewarding instruments, the TF Russell 2000 E-mini under the restrictions of being in cash each night. A remarkable accomplishment in a market that closed the year where it opened and presented a mid-year high on May 2nd and retracted.Â"

Â"I can not tell you what a joy it is each day to trade with our team members in the live room. The group we have now is tight and the team play and willingness to share amongst the traders makes us a powerhouse. Trading alone I would not have been able to put up numbers like these.. Trading is a team sport and if you havenÂ't found a team we invite you to have a look





Monday, March 12, 2012

TTT Talks 2011 INTO 2012

After a tumultuous year that was among the
most volatile on record, the domestic stock markets
survived a sluggish U.S. economy, a spreading
euro debt crisis, and a gridlocked Washington
to end 2011 virtually where they started.
Propelled by a fourth-quarter boost of
11.9%(1), the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial
Average closed the year at 12,217.56, an increase
of 5.6%(1), the third consecutive positive year for
the Dow. The S&P 500, a broader gauge of market
activity, climbed 11.1%(1) in the final quarter
and ended at 1,251.60, almost dead even with last
year’s 1,251.64 close. The technical 0.003%(1) difference
was its smallest annual move since 1970.
The technology heavy Nasdaq Composite gained
7.8%(1) in the fourth quarter but closed at
2,605.16, down 1.80%(1) for the year.
The lack-luster domestic stock markets still
outperformed the major international markets.
The Dow Jones Global Index, excluding the U.S.,
tumbled 16.3%(1) in 2011 while the STOXX Europe
600 Index fell 11.34%(1). U.K.’s FTSE
100 Index dipped 5.6%(1); Germany’s DAX Index
lost 15%(1), its first annual decline since 2008.
France’s CAC 40 dropped 17%(1) and Italy’s FTSE
MIB Index, down 26%(1), was the biggest loser.
Back home, the Federal Reserve (“Fed”)
reduced its forecasts for U.S. economic growth.
It predicted that the economy would grow 2.7%
in 2012, well below its June projections of 3.3% to
3.7%. For 2013, the Fed now expects expansion
of 3.2% down from its previous estimates of 3.5%
to 4.2%. The Fed projected a gain of up to 4% in
2014.
(1) Return excludes reinvested dividends.
For information regarding the indexes cited and key investment terms used in this report see page 6.
2
The Central Bank also predicts that the U.S.
unemployment rate will still be at least 8.5% at
the end of this year, at least 7.8% at the end of
2013 and at least 6.7% to 7.6% by the fourth
quarter of 2014.
There were several bright spots on the economic
horizon. For one thing, the Labor Department
reported that the private sector added
200,000 jobs in December, marking the sixth
consecutive month of gains topping 100,000. As a
result, the unemployment rate dipped to 8.5%
from November’s 8.7%, to its lowest level in
nearly three years.
Another positive note was the report by the
Institute of Supply Management (“ISM”) that U.S.
manufacturing expanded in December at its fastest
pace in six months. ISM’s closely watched
gauge of factory activity climbed to 53.9 in December,
up from 52.7 in November and its best
reading since last June. Scores over 50 indicate
expansion. The trade group also reported that its
index of non-manufacturing or service industries
rose to 52.6 in December from 52 in November,
which was the lowest reading in nearly two
years.
Housing, a vital factor in the economy, is
showing signs of recovery. The Commerce
Department reported that housing starts in
November reached 685,000 units, up 9.3% from
October and the highest level since April 2010.
Building permits increased 5.7% to an annual rate
of 681,000. The agency also reported that sales of
new single-family homes rose 1.8% in November
to a seasonally-adjusted 315,000 units, the
highest total in seven months.
The Conference Board reported that its consumer
confidence index spurted 10 points in
December to just above the level of a year ago.
Consumer spending, however, which accounts
for about 70% of U.S. economic activity, inched
up only 0.1% in November compared with
October, according to the Commerce
Department. Spending was restrained because
disposable personal income was flat in November
after increasing 0.3% in October.
Indications that inflation is slowing came
from the Labor Department report that its consumer
price index was unchanged in November
from October. Deleting volatile food and energy
prices, the index was up 2.7% in November. For
the year to date, the rise was 2.2%, slightly above
the Fed’s preferred range of 2%. The agency also
reported that its producer price index grew at a
seasonally-adjusted 0.3% in November. Removing
energy and food prices, the index was up by just
0.1%.
With U.S. imports declining more than exports,
the trade deficit narrowed to $43.5 billion
in October against $44.2 billion in September,
according to the Commerce Department. Exports
of goods totaled $127 billion in October
against $129.3 billion in September. Service exports
of $51.4 billion were unchanged from the
prior month. Imports of goods came to $186.6
billion for October against $188.8 billion in September.
Imports for services inched up to $36.1
billion from $36.0 billion. U.S. import prices,
which had fallen 0.5% in October, grew 0.7% in
November, the highest increase since April 2011.
Compared with most major market currencies,
the dollar ended 2011 within roughly 3% of
where it began the year. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index,
which measures the greenback against a
basket of other currencies, increased 1.5% in the
year. Hitting a new low in the final days of the
year, the euro closed at $1.2960. The chief exception
to the strong dollar was the yen. Despite
a year of deep trouble in Japan, the yen ended
more than 5% higher against the dollar. Climbing
from 81.25 yen at the start of the year, the dollar
fell to a record low near 75.8 yen in April and
completed the year at 76.92 yen.
Last year was a disappointment for deal
makers, with mergers and acquisitions declining
For information regarding the indexes cited and key investment terms used in this report see page 6.
3
after a strong start, according to Thomson Reuters.
In the first six months of 2011, announced
global deals came to $1.3 trillion, the highest
level since the financial crisis. However, deals
slumped 14% in the second half, bringing the
2011 dollar volume to $2.6 trillion, slightly below
the 2010 figure of $2.66 trillion.
The number of initial public offerings
(“IPOs”) and dollars raised was the lowest since
2009, according to Dealogic. Globally, there were
240 deals, raising $25.3 billion, in the fourth quarter,
the lowest deal volume since the third quarter
of 2009 and the lowest dollar volume since
the second quarter of 2009. For all of 2011, there
were 1,243 IPOs, raising $160 billion, again the
lowest figures since 2009. For the third consecutive
year, the world’s leading exchange for IPOs
was Hong Kong, with $31 billion in deals. The
volume of deals on the Chinese mainland slightly
topped the combined total of Nasdaq and the
New York Stock Exchange.
Based on current earnings estimates, Bloomberg
News reported that stocks on the S&P 500
were trading at a price/earnings ratio of 13.24 on
December 30, 2011. This compares with 11.94 on
September 30 and 14.88 on December 30 last
year. The P/Es for trailing twelve - month earnings
were reported by S&P at 12.96 on December
30, 13.01 on September 30 and 15.01 on December
30, 2010. As we see it, the P/E’s are neither
terribly high nor terribly low. Given present
market conditions, they appear to be in the normal
range as far as valuations are concerned.
The current consensus among Wall Street
research analysts is that S&P fourth-quarter
earnings will climb 8.3% in 2011 to $24.40,
according to Thomson Reuters. In October the
analysts were expecting 15% gains in the quarter.
For all of 2012, the S&P earnings are projected to
increase 10% to $107.20.
Looking to the future, both analysts and investors
were more bullish at the year’s end, with
analysts the most optimistic. Surveyed by Investors
Intelligence, analysts stood at 50% bulls and
29% bears on December 30, a reversal of their
position on September 30, which saw 37% bulls
and 41% bears. At the end of 2011, analysts came
to 56% bulls and 20% bears. Reported by the
American Institute of Investors, their members
totaled 41% bulls and 31% bears on December 30,
32% bulls and 47% bears on September 30, and
52% bulls and 20% bears at the end of 2010.
Since the market had risen since early October,
the increased optimism is no surprise.
They may be right. From August to October, our
sentiment indicators registered a lot of pessimism.
While some of our current indicators still
include some pretty bad numbers, our sentiment
model reading overall is now neutral.
Among our other models, the monetary reading
is bullish. That’s because the Fed has driven
interest rates to zero and is buying securities.
However, we wonder how bullish it can really be
when rates are at zero. As far as the tape is concerned,
we consider the current action quite positive.
It’s difficult to know the tape’s actual
performance because of the distortions caused
by the computer traders who account for more
than half of the volume. There are far more unusual
up and down days than we have seen in the
past. Taking a long view, the tape is acting reasonably
well.
Our stance on the market at this writing is
somewhat bullish and we are about 82% to 83%
long. For our Fund any investment figure over
80% is bullish.

TTT TURNS BULLISH IN BIG WAY BUY MS

Join today and get 10 positions guaranteed for 50% gains

Tom


tomandprisha@msn.com


TTT NEW BUY SIGNALS FOR NEW MEMBERS

Hi ,

If yopu click and join , even for the trial , I will send you within minutes 5 stocks and options that will get you 50% returns in 6 weeks. Join today and get instant service with 10 positions and my 24/7 guarantee.

tomandprisha@msn.com

Tom The Trader

There is only 1 That is #1 for 9 years running

Hint : Buy MS Morgan Stanley tonight !




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Saturday, March 10, 2012

TTT TODAY

Thursday, March 08, 2012

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops
#SubscriberNotes have been updated now.
Note: a bucket shop is an unofficial and usually illegal betting operation in which the prices of stocks and commodities are posted and the customers bet on the rise and fall of prices without actually buying stock, commodities, or commodity futures. Today's stock trading has been divorced from its connection to true valuation of securities and is equivalent to a bucket shop operation.

Change From 20 Jan 2009 and 7 Mar 2012 To 8 Mar 2012 (ETF tickers in the table are links to Money Flow charts)
Security Percentage Change From 20 Jan 2009 Percentage Change From 7 Mar 2012 Change in DOW JONES Points
DOW JONES (index) +62.38% +0.55% +70.61
Diamonds Trust (DIA) +62.35% +0.54% +69.08
Ultra Dow 30 (DDM) +157.55% +1.11% +142.51
Ultrashort Dow 30 (DXD) -78.93% -1.10% -141.28
S&P 500 Index (index) +69.63% +0.98% +126.04
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +70.09% +0.99% +127.72
Ultra S&P 500 Proshares (SSO) +163.21% +1.98% +254.65
Ultrashort S&P 500 Proshares (SDS) -81.47% -1.95% -250.18
NYSE Composite (index) +59.79% +1.29% +165.04
NYSE 100 ETF (NYC) +60.23% +1.35% +173.67
S&P Smallcap 600 (index) +94.11% +1.17% +149.60
Ultra Smallcap600 (SAA) +194.03% +2.46% +315.47
Short Smallcap600 (SBB) -63.67% -1.39% -178.75
Ultrashort Smallcap600 (SDD) -59.55% -2.91% -372.93
CBOE RUSSELL 2000 INDEX (index) +85.94% +1.31% +167.57
Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +85.81% +1.30% +166.36
Ultra Russell 2000 (UWM) +170.36% +2.66% +342.03
Ultrashort Russell 2000 (TWM) -60.03% -2.73% -350.36
CBOE NASDAQ 100 INDEX (index) +132.02% +1.12% +144.38
Ultra QQQ (QLD) +359.24% +2.20% +282.68
Ultrashort QQQ Proshares (QID) -47.39% -2.24% -287.21
Midcap 400 Idx (index) +100.87% +1.22% +156.47
S&P Midcap 400 (IJH) +101.49% +1.20% +154.51
Ultra Midcap 400 (MVV) +234.62% +2.32% +298.41
Ultrashort Midcap 400 (MZZ) -88.92% -2.40% -308.00
Greenhaven Continuous Commodity (GCC) +45.89% +0.49% +62.36
AMEX Gold Miners (index) +73.88% +1.18% +151.07
Gold Miners ETF (GDX) · +1.23% +158.43
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X Shares (NUGT) · +3.77% +483.82
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X Shares (DUST) · -3.38% -434.25
SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) +95.55% +1.01% +129.45
Comex Gold Trust (IAU) -80.39% +0.91% +117.27
ETFs Physical Precious Metal ETF (GLTR) · +1.04% +133.46
ETFs White Metals Basket Trust (WITE) · +1.75% +225.01
ETFs Physical Swiss Gold Shares (SGOL) · +0.94% +120.78
Ultrashort Gold (GLL) -83.62% -1.93% -247.62
ETFs Silver Trust (SIVR) · +1.36% +174.47
Silver Trust (SLV) +196.21% +1.36% +174.28
ETFs Physical Platinum Shares (PPLT) · +1.63% +208.98
ETFs Physical Palladium Shares (PALL) · +2.06% +263.92
Ultra Gold (UGL) +206.55% +1.91% +245.53
DJ-UBS Platinum Tr Etn (PGM) +66.75% +1.77% +227.54
DB Gold Double Short Etn (DZZ) -82.96% -1.77% -227.71
DB Gold Double Long Etn (DGP) +218.92% +1.93% +247.73
Ultra Silver (AGQ) +100.03% +2.68% +344.52
Ultrashort Silver (ZSL) -94.41% -2.89% -371.17
Semiconductor Sector (index) +109.47% +1.14% +146.34
Ultra Semiconductors (USD) +262.79% +1.16% +149.02
Ultrashort Semiconductors (SSG) -59.57% -1.27% -163.04
DJ U.S. Financials (IYF) +76.63% +0.88% +112.65
Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT) +1.28% -1.00% -128.47
Barclays Tips Bond Fund (TIP) +18.83% -0.04% -5.42
Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund (IEF) +7.20% -0.30% -37.88
Barclays Aggregate Bond Fund (AGG) +6.94% -0.23% -29.05
Ultrashort and Short Proshares ETFs
Ultrashort Nasdaq Biotech (BIS) · -3.27% -419.16
Ultrashort Msci Brazil ETF (BZQ) · -3.14% -403.27
Ultrashort DJ-Aig Commodity (CMD) -62.75% +0.07% +9.52
Short Oil & Gas (DDG) -55.68% -0.65% -82.98
Short Dow 30 (DOG) -51.65% -0.55% -70.13
Ultrashort Oil & Gas (DUG) -21.69% -1.22% -156.48
Ultrashort Dow 30 (DXD) -78.93% -1.10% -141.28
Ultrashort Msci Emerging Markets (EEV) -62.77% -4.32% -554.31
Ultrashort Msci Eafe (EFU) -82.80% -4.34% -557.38
Short Msci Eafe (EFZ) -53.31% -2.17% -278.84
Ultrashort Msci Europe ETF (EPV) · -5.39% -692.47
Short Msci Emerging Markets (EUM) -67.95% -2.15% -276.21
Ultrashort Euro (EUO) -21.47% -1.84% -236.27
Ultrashort Msci Japan (EWV) -63.61% -2.59% -333.02
Swiss Franc (FXF) +24.82% +0.89% +114.46
Ultrashort Ftse China 25 (FXP) -52.34% -4.41% -566.05
Ultrashort Gold (GLL) -83.62% -1.93% -247.62
Ultrashort Msci Pacific Ex-Japan (JPX) · -2.89% -370.54
Short Kbw Regional Banking (KRS) · -0.23% -29.08
Short Midcap 400 (MYY) -63.16% -1.18% -151.73
Ultrashort Midcap 400 (MZZ) -88.92% -2.40% -308.00
Short QQQ (PSQ) -65.27% -1.10% -141.85
Ultrashort 7-10 Year Treasury (PST) -42.11% +0.69% +88.71
Ultrashort QQQ Proshares (QID) -47.39% -2.24% -287.21
Short Real Estate (REK) · +0.44% +56.15
Ultrashort Technology (REW) -56.94% -2.33% -299.01
Short Russell 2000 (RWM) -63.67% -1.28% -164.46
Ultrashort Health Care (RXD) -70.41% -2.27% -291.91
Short Smallcap600 (SBB) -63.67% -1.39% -178.75
Short Basic Materials (SBM) · -1.78% -228.55
Ultrashort Consumer Services (SCC) -86.76% -1.82% -233.58
Ultrashort DJ-Aig Crude Oil (SCO) -83.03% -1.03% -131.58
Ultrashort Smallcap600 (SDD) -59.55% -2.91% -372.93
Ultrashort Russell Midcap Growth (SDK) -58.26% -2.73% -350.17
Ultrapro Short Dow 30 (SDOW) · -1.66% -212.54
Ultrashort Utilities (SDP) -28.94% -1.57% -202.10
Ultrashort S&P 500 Proshares (SDS) -81.47% -1.95% -250.18
Short Financials (SEF) -69.01% -0.99% -127.10
Ultrashort Russell 1000 Growth (SFK) -83.70% -2.99% -384.20
Short S&P500 (SH) -54.02% -0.99% -127.38
Ultrashort Industrials (SIJ) -49.25% -2.98% -382.87
Short High Yield (SJB) · -0.83% -106.27
Ultrashort Financials (SKF) -76.90% -1.92% -246.03
Ultrashort Russell 2000 Growth (SKK) -62.60% -3.13% -401.99
Ultrapro Short Midcap 400 (SMDD) · -3.55% -456.00
Ultrashort Basic Materials (SMN) -64.88% -3.25% -416.95
Ultrapro Short S&P500 (SPXU) · -3.01% -386.37
Ultrapro Short QQQ (SQQQ) · -3.35% -430.58
Ultrashort Real Estate (SRS) -54.75% +0.69% +88.12
Ultrapro Short Russell 2000 (SRTY) · -3.83% -491.32
Ultrashort Semiconductors (SSG) -59.57% -1.27% -163.04
Ultrashort Consumer Goods (SZK) -77.42% -1.81% -232.29
Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBF) · +1.03% +132.55
Ultrashort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) -52.05% +2.06% +264.20
Ultrashort Tips (TPS) +184.08% +0.21% +26.87
Ultrashort Russell 2000 (TWM) -60.03% -2.73% -350.36
Ultrashort Russell 3000 (TWQ) · -0.45% -57.88
Ultrashort Yen (YCS) -27.76% +0.95% +121.75
Short Ftse China 25 (YXI) · -2.00% -256.25
Ultrashort Silver (ZSL) -94.41% -2.89% -371.17
Corporate Bond ETFs
Tm Corporate Bond Fund (LQD) +16.52% +0.02% +2.20
Barclays Credit Bond Fund (CFT) +14.94% -0.12% -15.09
Barclays Intermediate Credit Bond Fund (CIU) +10.51% 0.00% 0.00
Municipal Bond ETFs
S&P National Muni Bond Fund (MUB) +9.35% -0.14% -17.54
Intermediate Muni Index ETF (ITM) +10.67% -0.13% -16.70
Barclays S/T Muni Bd (SHM) +2.95% +0.12% +15.77
International Bond ETFs
Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt (PCY) +31.75% +0.46% +59.24
Barclays Intl Treasury Bond (BWX) +17.20% +0.60% +77.26
JP Morgan Em Bond Fd (EMB) +35.69% +0.45% +57.84
Other Bond ETFs
Barclays 1-3 Year Treasury Bond Fund (SHY) -0.26% -0.04% -4.57
Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) +0.04% +0.02% +2.80
Barclays 3-7 Year Treasury Bond Fund (IEI) +5.21% -0.15% -18.94
Barclays Long Term Treasury (TLO) +9.37% -0.88% -113.15
1-30 Treasury Ladder Portfolio (PLW) +4.99% -0.69% -88.28
Barclays Credit Bond Fund (CFT) +14.94% -0.12% -15.09
High-Yield Bond ETFs
High Yield Corporate Bond (PHB) +14.07% +0.27% +34.21
Iboxx $ Hy Corp Bond Fund (HYG) +21.30% +0.78% +99.96
SPDR High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) +28.12% +0.81% +104.61
ProShares Short ETFs
Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBF) · +1.03% +132.55
Short Basic Materials (SBM) · -1.78% -228.55
Short Dow 30 (DOG) -51.65% -0.55% -70.13
Short Financials (SEF) -69.01% -0.99% -127.10
Short Ftse China 25 (YXI) · -2.00% -256.25
Short High Yield (SJB) · -0.83% -106.27
Short Kbw Regional Banking (KRS) · -0.23% -29.08
Short Midcap 400 (MYY) -63.16% -1.18% -151.73
Short Msci Eafe (EFZ) -53.31% -2.17% -278.84
Short Msci Emerging Markets (EUM) -67.95% -2.15% -276.21
Short Oil & Gas (DDG) -55.68% -0.65% -82.98
Short QQQ (PSQ) -65.27% -1.10% -141.85
Short Real Estate (REK) · +0.44% +56.15
Short Russell 2000 (RWM) -63.67% -1.28% -164.46
Short S&P500 (SH) -54.02% -0.99% -127.38
Short Smallcap600 (SBB) -63.67% -1.39% -178.75
Ultrapro Short Dow 30 (SDOW) · -1.66% -212.54
Ultrapro Short Midcap 400 (SMDD) · -3.55% -456.00
Ultrapro Short QQQ (SQQQ) · -3.35% -430.58
Ultrapro Short Russell 2000 (SRTY) · -3.83% -491.32
Ultrapro Short S&P500 (SPXU) · -3.01% -386.37
Ultrashort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) -52.05% +2.06% +264.20
Ultrashort 7-10 Year Treasury (PST) -42.11% +0.69% +88.71
Ultrashort Basic Materials (SMN) -64.88% -3.25% -416.95
Ultrashort Consumer Goods (SZK) -77.42% -1.81% -232.29
Ultrashort Consumer Services (SCC) -86.76% -1.82% -233.58
Ultrashort DJ-Aig Commodity (CMD) -62.75% +0.07% +9.52
Ultrashort DJ-Aig Crude Oil (SCO) -83.03% -1.03% -131.58
Ultrashort Dow 30 (DXD) -78.93% -1.10% -141.28
Ultrashort Euro (EUO) -21.47% -1.84% -236.27
Ultrashort Financials (SKF) -76.90% -1.92% -246.03
Ultrashort Ftse China 25 (FXP) -52.34% -4.41% -566.05
Ultrashort Gold (GLL) -83.62% -1.93% -247.62
Ultrashort Health Care (RXD) -70.41% -2.27% -291.91
Ultrashort Industrials (SIJ) -49.25% -2.98% -382.87
Ultrashort Midcap 400 (MZZ) -88.92% -2.40% -308.00
Ultrashort Msci Brazil ETF (BZQ) · -3.14% -403.27
Ultrashort Msci Eafe (EFU) -82.80% -4.34% -557.38
Ultrashort Msci Emerging Markets (EEV) -62.77% -4.32% -554.31
Ultrashort Msci Europe ETF (EPV) · -5.39% -692.47
Ultrashort Msci Japan (EWV) -63.61% -2.59% -333.02
Ultrashort Msci Pacific Ex-Japan (JPX) · -2.89% -370.54
Ultrashort Nasdaq Biotech (BIS) · -3.27% -419.16
Ultrashort Oil & Gas (DUG) -21.69% -1.22% -156.48
Ultrashort QQQ Proshares (QID) -47.39% -2.24% -287.21
Ultrashort Real Estate (SRS) -54.75% +0.69% +88.12
Ultrashort Russell Midcap Growth (SDK) -58.26% -2.73% -350.17
Ultrashort Russell 1000 Growth (SFK) -83.70% -2.99% -384.20
Ultrashort Russell 2000 (TWM) -60.03% -2.73% -350.36
Ultrashort Russell 2000 Growth (SKK) -62.60% -3.13% -401.99
Ultrashort Russell 3000 (TWQ) · -0.45% -57.88
Ultrashort S&P 500 Proshares (SDS) -81.47% -1.95% -250.18
Ultrashort Semiconductors (SSG) -59.57% -1.27% -163.04
Ultrashort Silver (ZSL) -94.41% -2.89% -371.17
Ultrashort Smallcap600 (SDD) -59.55% -2.91% -372.93
Ultrashort Technology (REW) -56.94% -2.33% -299.01
Ultrashort Tips (TPS) +184.08% +0.21% +26.87
Ultrashort Utilities (SDP) -28.94% -1.57% -202.10
Ultrashort Yen (YCS) -27.76% +0.95% +121.75
ProShares ETFs
Ultrashort Russell 3000 (TWQ) · -0.45% -57.88
Ultrashort 7-10 Year Treasury (PST) -42.11% +0.69% +88.71
Ultrashort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) -52.05% +2.06% +264.20
Short QQQ (PSQ) -65.27% -1.10% -141.85
Short Dow 30 (DOG) -51.65% -0.55% -70.13
Short S&P500 (SH) -54.02% -0.99% -127.38
Short Midcap 400 (MYY) -63.16% -1.18% -151.73
Short Smallcap600 (SBB) -63.67% -1.39% -178.75
Short Russell 2000 (RWM) -63.67% -1.28% -164.46
Ultrashort QQQ Proshares (QID) -47.39% -2.24% -287.21
Ultrashort Dow 30 (DXD) -78.93% -1.10% -141.28
Ultrashort S&P 500 Proshares (SDS) -81.47% -1.95% -250.18
Ultrashort Midcap 400 (MZZ) -88.92% -2.40% -308.00
Ultrashort Smallcap600 (SDD) -59.55% -2.91% -372.93
Ultrashort Russell 2000 (TWM) -60.03% -2.73% -350.36
Ultrashort Russell 1000 Growth (SFK) -83.70% -2.99% -384.20
Ultrashort Russell Midcap Growth (SDK) -58.26% -2.73% -350.17
Ultrashort Russell 2000 Growth (SKK) -62.60% -3.13% -401.99
Ultrashort Basic Materials (SMN) -64.88% -3.25% -416.95
Ultrashort Consumer Goods (SZK) -77.42% -1.81% -232.29
Ultrashort Consumer Services (SCC) -86.76% -1.82% -233.58
Ultrashort Financials (SKF) -76.90% -1.92% -246.03
Ultrashort Health Care (RXD) -70.41% -2.27% -291.91
Ultrashort Industrials (SIJ) -49.25% -2.98% -382.87
Ultrashort Oil & Gas (DUG) -21.69% -1.22% -156.48
Ultrashort Real Estate (SRS) -54.75% +0.69% +88.12
Ultrashort Semiconductors (SSG) -59.57% -1.27% -163.04
Ultrashort Technology (REW) -56.94% -2.33% -299.01
Ultrashort Utilities (SDP) -28.94% -1.57% -202.10
Short Msci Emerging Markets (EUM) -67.95% -2.15% -276.21
Short Msci Eafe (EFZ) -53.31% -2.17% -278.84
Ultrashort Msci Eafe (EFU) -82.80% -4.34% -557.38
Ultrashort Msci Emerging Markets (EEV) -62.77% -4.32% -554.31
Ultrashort Msci Japan (EWV) -63.61% -2.59% -333.02
Ultrashort Ftse China 25 (FXP) -52.34% -4.41% -566.05
Ultra QQQ (QLD) +359.24% +2.20% +282.68
Ultra Dow 30 (DDM) +157.55% +1.11% +142.51
Ultra S&P 500 Proshares (SSO) +163.21% +1.98% +254.65
Ultra Midcap 400 (MVV) +234.62% +2.32% +298.41
Ultra Smallcap600 (SAA) +194.03% +2.46% +315.47
Ultra Russell 2000 (UWM) +170.36% +2.66% +342.03
Ultra Russell 1000 Value (UVG) +130.50% +1.46% +187.80
Ultra Russell 1000 Growth (UKF) +212.89% +1.09% +139.54
Ultra Russell Midcap Value (UVU) +199.05% +2.83% +363.49
Ultra Russell Midcap Growth (UKW) +269.95% +2.35% +302.06
Ultra Russell 2000 Value (UVT) +122.81% +2.50% +320.70
Ultra Russell 2000 Growth (UKK) +214.85% +2.91% +373.21
Ultra Basic Materials (UYM) +214.27% +3.28% +421.53
Ultra Consumer Services (UCC) +268.62% +1.77% +227.75
Ultra Financials ETF (UYG) +1946.52% +1.82% +233.96
Ultra Health Care (RXL) +104.27% +2.55% +327.87
Ultra Industrials (UXI) +179.51% +2.93% +375.86
Ultra Oil & Gas (DIG) +105.71% +1.18% +152.06
Ultra DJ-Aig Crude Oil (UCO) +357.72% +1.13% +145.02
Ultra Real Estate ETF (URE) +1334.67% -0.75% -95.95
Ultra Semiconductors (USD) +262.79% +1.16% +149.02
Ultra Technology (ROM) +321.89% +2.17% +278.86
Ultra Utilities (UPW) +68.51% +1.05% +135.10
Japan ETFs
MSCI Japan (EWJ) +19.10% +1.72% +221.11
SPDR Russell/Nomura Prime Japan ETF (JPP) +16.28% +1.70% +218.62
S&P/Topix 150 (ITF) +17.49% +1.97% +252.31
Japan Smallcap Fund (DFJ) +31.96% +1.01% +129.90
SPDR Russell/Nomura Small Cap Japan (JSC) +33.13% +0.80% +103.31
MSCI Japan Sm Cap (SCJ) +30.41% +0.83% +106.09
Japan Total Dividend Fund (DXJ) +5.02% +1.94% +249.65
China ETFs, Broad Based
Direxion China Bull 3X Shares (YINN) · +4.73% +607.78
Direxion China Bear 3X Shares (YANG) · -5.84% -749.10
Ftse-Xinhua China 25 (FXI) +63.48% +2.35% +301.30
S&P China ETF (GXC) +88.40% +1.93% +248.25
Golden Dragon Halter Usx China (PGJ) +74.96% +1.88% +241.33
Guggenheim China All-Cap ETF (YAO) · +1.98% +254.20
Ishares Msci China Index Fund (MCHI) · +2.46% +315.51
First Trust China Alphadex Fund (FCA) · +1.78% +228.32
China ETFs, Specialty
MSCI Hong Kong (EWH) +88.60% +1.42% +182.24
FTSE China [Hk Listed] (FCHI) +69.96% +1.90% +243.85
China ETF (PEK) · +2.37% +304.22
MSCI China Small Cap Index Fund ETF (ECNS) · +3.10% +398.57
Guggenheim China Small Cap Index ETF (HAO) +99.40% +2.87% +367.91
China ETFs, Sector
Emerging Indxx China Infrastructure (CHXX) · +2.80% +359.45
Guggenheim China Real Estate ETF (TAO) +91.45% +2.20% +282.22
Guggenheim China Technology ETF (CQQQ) · +1.49% +191.84
Global X China Consumer ETF (CHIQ) · +2.35% +301.27
Global X China Energy ETF (CHIE) · +0.99% +126.83
Global X China Financials ETF (CHIX) · +2.34% +300.09
Global X China Industrials ETF (CHII) · +1.95% +250.89
Global X China Materials ETF (CHIM) · +8.17% +1048.22
China ETFs, Leveraged
Direxion China Bull 3X Shares (YINN) · +4.73% +607.78
Direxion China Bear 3X Shares (YANG) · -5.84% -749.10
Short Ftse China 25 (YXI) · -2.00% -256.25
Ultrashort Ftse China 25 (FXP) -52.34% -4.41% -566.05
China ETFs, Currency
Vectors Chinese Renminbi/Usd Etn (CNY) +3.54% +0.05% +6.27
Dreyfus Chinese Yuan Fund (CYB) +1.44% +0.08% +10.12
Other ETFs
Nasdaq Internet Portfolio (PNQI) +219.82% +1.59% +204.55
DB Base Metals Double Short Etn (BOM) -83.41% -1.75% -224.84
DB Base Metals Double Long Etn (BDD) +142.80% +1.20% +154.05
DB Base Metals Short Etn (BOS) -54.81% -0.85% -109.23
DB Crude Oil Double Short Etn (DTO) -80.87% -0.96% -122.60
DB Crude Oil Short Etn (SZO) -49.13% -0.05% -6.79
DB Crude Oil Long Etn (OLO) +66.67% +1.06% +135.67
S&P GSCI Crude Oil Tr Etn (OIL) +41.90% +0.45% +57.18
DJ-UBS Natural Gas Tr Etn (GAZ) -78.61% -2.27% -291.76
DJ-UBS Energy Tr Etn (JJE) -21.80% +1.17% +150.54
Agribusiness ETF (MOO) +100.62% +1.54% +198.27
Global Agriculture Portfolio (PAGG) +89.88% +1.76% +226.23
Global Clean Energy Portfolio (PBD) -15.49% +2.24% +288.16
DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) +14.33% +0.32% +40.70
DJ-UBS Agriculture Tr Etn (JJA) +34.75% -0.21% -26.39
Rogers Intl Comm Agri Etn (RJA) +23.90% +0.11% +14.33
DJ-UBS Coffee Tr Etn (JO) +28.21% +0.63% +80.56
DJ-UBS Cocoa Tr Etn (NIB) -16.58% +3.16% +405.91
DJ-UBS Cotton Tr Etn (BAL) +94.75% -0.99% -126.73
DOW Jones-UBS Sugar Tr Etn (SGG) +103.48% +0.36% +45.86
DJ-UBS Grains Tr Etn (JJG) +14.14% -0.11% -14.03
DJ-UBS Copper Tr Etn (JJC) +134.78% +0.83% +106.07
DJ-UBS Nickel Tr Etn (JJN) +59.56% -2.79% -358.66
DJ-UBS Tin Tr Etn (JJT) +113.53% +3.24% +416.14
Euro Currency Trust (FXE) +2.45% +0.92% +117.70
Ultra Euro (ULE) +0.04% +1.75% +225.12
Ultrashort Euro (EUO) -21.47% -1.84% -236.27
Ultra Yen (YCL) +10.83% -1.13% -145.25
Ultrashort Yen (YCS) -27.76% +0.95% +121.75
DB Usd Index Bullish (UUP) -15.61% -0.68% -86.74
DB Usd Index Bearish (UDN) +10.04% +0.70% +90.04
Advisorshares Active Bear ETF (HDGE) · -1.75% -224.68
Ultrashort DJ-Aig Commodity (CMD) -62.75% +0.07% +9.52
MSCI Emerging Markets (VWO) +115.61% +2.20% +281.98
Classic ETFs
Market Vectors Biotech ETF (BBH) -74.82% +1.76% +225.54
Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) +75.39% +1.71% +218.97
Cohen & Steers Realty Majors (ICF) +111.99% -0.65% -83.20
DJ U.S. Utilities (IDU) +28.16% +0.54% +68.80
Goldman Sachs Natural Resources (IGE) +78.43% +1.11% +142.08
Goldman Sachs Technology (IGM) +116.84% +1.15% +147.07
Goldman Sachs Network (IGN) +85.49% +0.94% +120.74
Goldman Sachs Software (IGV) +114.50% +1.44% +185.09
S&P Midcap 400/Barra Value (IJJ) +84.68% +1.18% +151.88
S&P Midcap 400/Barra Growth (IJK) +118.59% +1.17% +150.06
S&P Smallcap 600 (IJR) +93.73% +1.12% +144.10
Small Cap 600/Barra Value (IJS) · +1.05% +135.29
Small Cap 600/Barra Growth (IJT) +104.00% +1.28% +163.83
S&P 500/Barra Value (IVE) +63.10% +0.96% +123.04
Russell 1000 ETF (IWB) +73.43% +0.92% +117.65
Russell 1000 Value ETF (IWD) +60.98% +0.90% +115.29
Russell 1000 Growth ETF (IWF) +86.72% +1.05% +135.28
Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +85.81% +1.30% +166.36
Russell 2000 Value ETF (IWN) +68.85% +1.09% +139.54
Russell 2000 Growth ETF (IWO) · +1.49% +191.69
Russell Midcap Growth ETF (IWP) +111.33% +1.23% +158.38
Russell Midcap ETF (IWR) +98.92% +1.15% +147.16
Russell Midcap Value (IWS) +86.82% +0.96% +123.59
Russell 3000 ETF ETF (IWV) +74.60% +1.00% +127.78
Russell 3000 Value ETF (IWW) +61.33% +0.95% +121.42
Russell 3000 Growth ETF (IWZ) +87.98% +1.10% +141.21
S&P Global Energy ETF (IXC) +54.42% +1.31% +167.99
S&P Global Financial ETF (IXG) +65.01% +2.39% +306.48
S&P Global Healthcare ETF (IXJ) +37.82% +1.42% +182.53
S&P Global Technology ETF (IXN) +96.82% +1.26% +161.89
S&P Global Telecommunications ETF (IXP) +25.45% +1.23% +157.40
DJ U.S. Consumer (IYC) +102.49% +0.94% +120.08
DJ U.S. Oil And Gas Fund (IYE) +63.26% +0.59% +75.44
DJ U.S. Financial Services (IYG) +82.64% +1.59% +204.08
DJ U.S. Health Care (IYH) +47.40% +1.25% +160.23
DJ U.S. Industrials (IYJ) +81.37% +1.42% +182.25
DJ U.S. Consumer Goods (IYK) +64.81% +1.02% +130.81
DJ U.S. Basic Materials Index (IYM) +105.55% +1.59% +204.07
DJ U.S. Real Estate (IYR) +101.30% -0.23% -29.77
DJ Transportation Average (IYT) +73.91% +1.46% +186.91
DJ U.S. Technology (IYW) · +1.08% +138.09
DJ U.S. Total Market (IYY) +74.75% +0.98% +125.99
DJ U.S. Telecommunications (IYZ) +45.61% +0.73% +93.11
Morningstar Large Core (JKD) +63.16% +1.09% +140.01
Morningstar Large Growth (JKE) +94.57% +1.29% +165.72
Morningstar L V I (JKF) +43.75% +0.53% +68.50
Morningstar Mid Core (JKG) +107.25% +1.37% +175.29
Morningstar Mid Growth (JKH) +113.53% +1.17% +150.03
Morningstar Mid Value (JKI) · +1.33% +170.42
Morningstar Small Core (JKJ) +104.25% +1.33% +170.60
Morningstar Small Value (JKL) +103.71% +1.24% +159.42
Midcap Spdr (MDY) +101.25% +1.15% +147.00
NYSE Composite (NY) +49.27% +1.02% +131.24
S&P 100 ETF (OEF) +62.80% +0.87% +112.30
Market Vectors Oil Services ETF (OIH) -36.90% +1.92% +246.05
Fidelity Nasdaq Composite (ONEQ) +105.11% +1.11% +142.87
S&P Equal Weight ETF (RSP) +103.33% +1.20% +153.59
Market Vectors Semiconductor Et (SMH) +107.85% +0.92% +117.60
SPDR Fund - Basic Industries (XLB) +72.21% +1.67% +213.78
SPDR Fund - Energy Sector (XLE) +68.54% +0.81% +104.57
SPDR Fund - Financial (XLF) +82.80% +0.96% +122.85
SPDR Fund - Industrial (XLI) +77.51% +1.43% +183.29
SPDR Fund - Technology (XLK) +102.72% +1.01% +129.44
SPDR Fund - Consumer Staples (XLP) +47.09% +0.69% +89.12
SPDR Fund - Utilities (XLU) +23.35% +0.32% +40.44
SPDR Fund - Health Care (XLV) +42.82% +1.11% +142.96
SPDR Fund - Consumer Discretionary (XLY) +125.41% +1.02% +130.48
300% Leverage Bear ETFs
Direxion Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (SOXS) · -4.31% -553.12
Direxion China Bear 3X Shares (YANG) · -5.84% -749.10
Direxion Daily Agribusiness Bea (COWS) · -5.40% -692.58
Direxion Daily Basic Materials (MATS) · -4.48% -575.17
Direxion Energy Bear 3X Shares (ERY) -79.19% -1.61% -207.28
Direxion Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ) -97.14% -2.70% -347.22
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bear (SICK) · -4.04% -518.49
Direxion Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (DRV) · +1.28% +164.27
Direxion Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (SOXS) · -4.31% -553.12
Direxion Technology Bear 3X Shares (TYP) -86.50% -3.23% -414.50
Direxion China Bear 3X Shares (YANG) · -5.84% -749.10
Developed Markets Bear 3X Shares (DPK) -73.70% -6.51% -835.65
Direxion Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares (EDZ) -87.04% -6.40% -822.14
Direxion Latin America Bear 3X Shares (LHB) · -5.55% -712.57
Direxion Daily Russia Bear 3X S (RUSS) · -7.88% -1011.16
Direxion 10-Yr Treasury Bear 3X Shrs (TYO) · +0.89% +113.65
Direxion 30-Yr Treasury Bear 3X Shrs (TMV) · +2.99% +383.34
Ultrapro Short S&P500 (SPXU) · -3.01% -386.37
300% Leverage Bull ETFs
Direxion Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) · +4.26% +546.94
Direxion China Bull 3X Shares (YINN) · +4.73% +607.78
Direxion 10-Yr Treasury Bull 3X Shrs (TYD) · -0.97% -124.38
Direxion 10-Yr Treasury Bear 3X Shrs (TYO) · +0.89% +113.65
Direxion 30-Yr Treasury Bull 3X Shrs (TMF) · -3.02% -387.20
Direxion 30-Yr Treasury Bear 3X Shrs (TMV) · +2.99% +383.34
Direxion Large Cap Bull 3X Shares (BGU) +204.86% +3.06% +393.01
Direxion Large Cap Bear 3X Shares (BGZ) -71.55% -3.10% -398.54
Direxion Mid Cap Bull 3X Shares (MWJ) -2.40% +3.21% +411.64
Direxion Mid Cap Bear 3X Shares (MWN) -71.23% -3.42% -438.56
Direxion Small Cap Bull 3X Shares (TNA) +154.79% +3.93% +504.25
Direxion Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (TZA) -70.45% -4.05% -519.50
Direxion Energy Bull 3X Shares (ERX) +83.81% +1.60% +205.96
Direxion Energy Bear 3X Shares (ERY) -79.19% -1.61% -207.28
Direxion Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) +620.23% +2.63% +338.05
Direxion Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ) -97.14% -2.70% -347.22
Direxion Technology Bull 3X Shares (TYH) +31.11% +3.21% +411.99
Direxion Technology Bear 3X Shares (TYP) -86.50% -3.23% -414.50
Developed Markets Bull 3X Shares (DZK) +18.53% +6.28% +806.21
Developed Markets Bear 3X Shares (DPK) -73.70% -6.51% -835.65
Direxion Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares (EDC) +233.18% +6.35% +815.11
Direxion Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares (EDZ) -87.04% -6.40% -822.14
Ultrapro S&P 500 (UPRO) · +3.00% +384.98
Ultrapro Short S&P500 (SPXU) · -3.01% -386.37




Tuesday, March 6, 2012

NEW SPECIALS FOR PROFESSIONAL TRADERS

For those whom need more than a blog , please go to http://www.ttthedge.com for all the services and professional options. For Blog updates on my plays each week you can join below. I try to update when I can and after 36 years...when I talk...people listen. TOP will be retested ...join TTT HEDGE FOR THE RALLY

Tom



Friday, March 2, 2012

BUY SPXU AND SQQQ

A Remarkable Run



From a number of different perspectives, the market environment we're in now is remarkable.



At various points in the past six weeks, the broader market has shrugged off bouts of extreme sentiment, negative seasonality, egregiously negative breadth divergences and a host of negative price patterns.



This stretch is similar to several others we've seen since the 2009 bear market low.



If we levitate again tomorrow, then the S&P 500 will have enjoyed 50 consecutive days without closing below its 20-day moving average.

In April 2010 the streak lasted 49 days.

In November 2010 the streak lasted 52 days.

In January/February 2011 the streak lasted 40 days, but there was only 1 close below the 20-day. Ignoring that, the streak lasted 57 days.

So we're bumping up against the max number of days buyers were able to sustain the streak.



In addition, as of Tuesday the S&P had managed to eek out 35 positive closes during the past 50 days. The index also reached 35 positive out of 50 trading days on 01/11/10, 4/19/10 and 2/10/11, indicated by the red arrows in the chart to the right.



The last two also coincided with long streaks above the 20-day average as noted above. All three of them saw the market top out almost immediately.





Sunday, February 26, 2012

THE POLITICS OF RECOVERY

PLEASE JOIN TODAY FOR INSTANT MARKET VIEWS OF THE TOP FORECASTER SINCE 1982



The Commerce Department said Friday that new-home sales fell 0.9 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 321,000 homes. That followed four straight months of gains in which home sales rose 10 percent. The gains came after the government upwardly revised October, November and December's figures. December's annual sales pace of 324,000 was the highest in a year. Even with more sales, just 304,000 new homes were sold in 2011 -- the fewest on records dating back to 1963. And new homes are selling well below the 700,000-per-year rate that economists equate with healthy markets. But - not to worry just read Bloomberg as they reported the figures this way "Purchases of new homes in the U.S. exceeded forecasts in January after climbing a month earlier to a one-year high, more evidence the housing market is stabilizing. " graphs - RTTNews



The National Association of Realtors said on Wednesday existing home sales increased 4.3 percent to an annual rate of 4.57 million units last month, the fastest pace since May 2010. Sales were up across all four regions of the country, with the West recording the biggest gain -- an 8.8 percent increase.




As a result of ongoing geopolitical tensions (e.g. Iran) as well a spotty but generally improving global economy, the price of crude oil continues to trend higher. Since the end of September, the cost of one barrel of crude oil has increased by over $30. With oil prices trending higher, it is not all that surprising to find that gasoline prices are following suit. The average US price for a gallon of unleaded is up $1.87 per gallon since the financial crisis low. Over the past two months, gasoline prices have resumed their upward trend with an increase of $0.35 per gallon. There a couple points of interest from today's chart. For one, Middle East crises are often associated with major swings in the price of gasoline. Also, gasoline price spikes have often occurred prior to an economic downturn. In the end, gasoline prices have rarely been higher than current levels and considering the fragility of the current global economy, gasoline/oil prices are something to watch going forward.



This past week's top sectors.





This past week's indices - the small caps were slightly lower.



The monthly cash charts show that at the moment we are sitting at the high for the month across the board after a 5-month climb, except for oil which took a 2-month breather. The NASDAQ has broken above its multiyear highs while the Dow having broken last year's high is still under the high from 2007. The general market volume has not increased significantly and most traders look to volume as a demonstration of strength so are still treating this excellent rally as questionable so have missed much of these gains. Perhaps if the S&P 500 will move over last year's high and some volume will come in it will encourage more buying. You can see however that it's top Bollinger band is at 1425 and if reached may put at least a short-term stop to the rally. Oil is reaching its high from last year which is also right at the top Bollinger band at $115.



By midweek as seen on this 60 min chart, the indices had dropped to the lower Bollinger band as seems to happen every week, and became a good buying opportunity as they all then ran to the top Bollinger bands.



The monthly Dow chart a little bit longer term overview to show the look of the breakout so far and the declining volume each month.



The daily chart with RSI at 62 so not overbought and the top Bollinger band is at 13,179.



This 10 minute renko chart shows the morning dip on Thursday and the rise from about 9:30 and then the range the following day.



This Dow futures chart having short term Fibonacci projections on the right shows it has remained above the 161.8% projection. It now has at least a 60% chance of reaching the longer term 127.2% which is at 13,313.



This shorter term Dow futures chart with Fibonacci projections as shown. So the next trade above that 13,000 level may run right up to the 161.8% as shown.



Understandably with the rise in gasoline prices the transports have been falling this past week.



There was some movement into utilities this week as they bounced on Friday but are still contained in this range established in November.



The NASDAQ monthly also shows, decreasing volume though RSI is just at 63 and when it reached a high in 2007 RSI was over 70. Note that the histogram has just turned positive



The weekly chart with its 12 point gain.



On the NASDAQ 60 min chart there was a very brief touching or crossing of the moving averages but they remain on a buy and now one can use this lower channel trendline as a cautionary stop.



You may remember that the NASDAQ summation index is not terribly fast to respond so can have some whipsaws but do note that despite the new highs this week they have crossed over which is a warning and must be reversed pretty soon as often these crossovers can result in multi-week or month moves.



The past week it was a short one and there wasn't a big gain in the and this is but noticed that the number of new highs as shown on this moving average have not really increased in the past week. On the positive side the number of new lows have also not increased.



The NASDAQ 100 futures having broken above the 2600 level now has short term Fibonacci projection levels as shown.



Being a short term 15 min chart the moving averages can be a volatile but note that on Thursday the crossover came as the price moved above the downtrend line which worked out for a short term gain as it is inside this up trending parallel channel.



VIX again closed lower ending the week at 17.31.



The semiconductor index in a pretty tight range moving up and down closed down less than 2% remains above the trendline.



The New York stock exchange index on the top continued higher though in the bottom we see the number of new highs minus new lows have not turned back up significantly.



85% of all stocks on the New York stock exchange are now trading over their 50 day moving average.



The S&P 500 lazy the chart shows the price level back up to 2011 highs with the weekly RS I at 63. It is been a good run since did by at 1208. We updated the point gains from the summer of 2009 and generally the moves have been all along enough in duration that there was only one losing trade and the total amount is about 725 points or $36,000 per contract.



Last week two weeks ago we saw a test of the lower parallel channel trendline and again this week as well and the close was just at or under it. If we don't get a rally soon it will remain under it which doesn't necessarily mean a big drop but is a caution when it moves out of a channel. It's been in for two months.



This S&P 500 ultra long from our stock charts public page can also be used as an general market indicator even if you don't trade it. Watching the parallel channel trend lines and moving averages crossovers can spot the net potential points to take profits or to reverse trades.



On the ultra short side this would be a long trade if we do get a decent pullback.



As we saw with the Dow futures here the S&P 500 futures with some short term Fibonacci projections overhead that would come into play with a close over 1370.



A longer view of the monthly Russell 2000 chart and its three month in-a-row gains and about 42 points to go to get back to the all-time high.



The daily chart shows the tight range it is been in and overhead resistance.



And this Russell 60 min chart shows the February range.



The banking index has also been a non-starter lately had now is back close to its 20 day moving average.



With the price of gas going higher it was rather expected that retail may start some declines as we have often heard retailers speak of lower sales during times of high gasoline prices.



The Dow Jones world stock index gained two. One percent this week closing very near the underside of this formerly broken trendline which may provide resistance now.



The FTSE did gain half a percent this week and is a bit above the recent range but has yet to break this significantly.



The Shanghai exchange remained strong adding 3 1/2% this week making clearly above the more recent congestion and taking RSI back over 50. This is a positive move for the other markets in general with resistance now at the 50 week EMA which is near the top Bollinger band.



A little bit lower than the 50 week EMA above is the 200 day EMA at 2483 and this may give resistance as it did last summer. RSI on the daily chart is very near to 70.



We have often shown with stocks that as they approach a moving average and may have trouble breaking over it. They instead use the trick of just gapping up over resistance. We can see that our commodity ETF did just that this week, gapping over the 200 week EMA and closing the week up 3.9% on increased volume.



Crude oil which last week closed just act the downtrend line ran over at closing at $109. If it can hold the trendline been the logical first target will be the $114 level from last year.



This is a closer view on the weekly chart of oil. It is above the top Bollinger band but if it takes a bit of time it can push-up the bands like it did last year starting in late February. It does however need higher value as it had last time.



Here a gold futures chart with short term Fibonacci levels on the right and also the Fibonacci retrace levels from that 2011 high with the 78.6% retrace at 108, which may also give intermediate resistance.



Natural gas made that low six weeks ago with a quick test the following week as RSI had gone under 30 for a longer-term position this area is logical as the stop is nearby and if it is the start of the longer-term reversal obviously would be a good entry point. The histogram is only slightly negative and with only a little movement higher we will see a MACD crossover.a



Gold Closed above the 1767 resistance and now has it at 1804.



Here just a closer view of that gold. Of those gold levels.



On this gold futures chart you see the close just under the 61.8% retracement level.



Shorter-term gold futures shows the move to the 127.2% projection which gave enough resistance that it's been consolidating below that level. A close back above their could take it to the 161.8% as shown.



This gold ETF closed right at that top parallel channel line with some increase in volume but not is much as earlier in the year.



The GDX candlestick 60 min chart dropped below its 20 day MA but has held above the 50. Though this is short term as the Williams indicator above and the RSI indicator below their top lines.



As you know the GTX mechanical had shifted back to buy and each time when the signals change. We hope the trend lasts so we don't have whipsaws which eats away at the buildup gains and less we are taking partial profits. Along the way.



The silver monthly chart just points out the close right at resistance levels. However you'll note this move in the last couple of months has kept RSI above 50 and has moved the Williams indicator from just slightly below.



The silver futures chart with a break above the downtrend line but remains still under horizontal resistance. A close above 36 would then give a better than even odds that it will move to the 127.2% Fibonacci projection at $38.37.



It would be nice if silver does break above those levels as there is at least a six dollar gained now on our mechanical silver trade which went long at the turn of the year.



Last week copper looked cautionary as it closed below its 50 week EMA though it did put in a good 3.5% bounce this week.



Platinum however did break cleanly above resistance rising 5.3% this week.



Palladium was up 3.5% but it has not broken to new highs of the year. Do note that it did have increased volume this week.



The euro futures continued a rally closing above the 50% retracement towards its high from last October. It is now near the downtrend line worth watching for a break or a failure there.



If the US dollar were to rally the market may decline. Note that the Williams indicator is now below 80 and in past rallies it was at a similar location. Also notice that RSI though is at 37 and in the past it went below or near 30 before some major rallies. The dollar closed at 78.35 which is one penny under the earlier low this year which started a small rally. The other price to note is 78, as that is the 200 day EMA.



And the daily dollar futures charts looking quite week though Williams is oversold but RSI not so much. It is however just now under the lower Bollinger band. So watch as mentioned above for any quick trips to 78 is that may be a short term balance area.





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Check the updated Earnings Calendar on all overnight holds.




The only logical and honest choice for 2012 to help fix the broken governmental system and stop the reckless wars that all the other candidates want to continue.







This week's economic calendar for the USA.





Volatility mean opportunity for futures trading and it is free to try it out.

Global Futures has many platforms available for trading futures and Forex but a very popular one is Global Zen Trader as it is very customizable with exceled built in charting that can be used free floating. We made a short video about it giving a very general overview, and we have links on that page to several other videos about this platform. You can try it for free using live streaming data in order to see if future's trading is right for you.. link here so give it a watch and try it out.





Futures and Forex trading



Friday, February 24, 2012

TTT NEW BULL MARKET

Good Morning. One of the most interesting/difficult aspects of trying to manage money in the stock market is the fact that the game is always changing. And I'm here to say that one of the most dramatic changes I've ever witnessed in my 24+ years in this business has occurred in the past four months. In short, never before has the importance of being flexible been more evident as this market morphed from a violent, bucking bronco that moved hundreds of points on the latest headline or rumor out of Europe into a steady-Eddie, Energizer Bunny.

Ever since I started managing "other people's money" in 1987, I've felt it was important to have a investment process that was repeatable. And for me the first step in the process has always been to identify the environment that you are dealing with. The thinking is that if you know what type of beast you are doing battle with; you might have a shot at choosing the right weapon with which to fight.

For example, investors have likely learned (the hard way) that utilizing the same pedal-to-the-metal approach that was all the rage in the late 1990's was a recipe for disaster during the ensuing Tech Bubble Bear that took a massive toll on tech and growth stocks from 2000-2003. So, while margined dotcom's were the weapons of choice in 1999, it was cash, value stocks, and bonds that made for better holdings for the next three years.

In looking at the current market environment, it is clear that the market environment has changed. The violence that was so pervasive from late-July through mid-December is gone. In its place is a relentless march higher with nary a hiccup seen over the past ten weeks. From an historical perspective, we saw the bull that began on March 10, 2009 end in a violent fashion last August when what will be technically defined as a cyclical bear market occurred. And since the S&P has now moved up more than 24% from the October low, it is important to recognize that we've now got a cyclical bull market on our hands.

So, does this mean we can start doing something else besides watching every headline out of Europe, China and the Fed? And can we perhaps just let our chips ride this wonderful wave for a while? Or will the current joyride end with a bang once Dow 13,000 is eclipsed?

In all honesty, I'm not sure (again, I'm sorry to report that my crystal ball is in the shop). What I can say is that the average cyclical bull market that occurs within the context of a secular bear cycle (the one that began in 2000), tends to last about a year. And in terms of what we might be able to expect out of this bull move - from a big-picture standpoint - it is worth noting that the median gain for cyclical bulls within secular bears is something north of 75% and the average gain is over 105%.

But, before you run out and start buying UPRO's on margin, we should remember that history is only a guide. If one looks closely at the data, you will find that the actual returns for all the cyclical bulls that occur within a secular bear are all over the map. For example, since 1960 there have been five cyclical bulls with returns greater than 85% (two over 100% and one over 290%) and six bulls that sported returns of less than 35%. Thus, given that this market changed costumes so quickly and that there are still a few macro issues out there, one could argue that the current bull may not make it to the mean or median columns.

However, I like to stick with what is instead of worrying about what could be. Therefore, we need to recognize that the market has changed from a news-driven bear to a new cyclical bull. And the key going forward will be to try and identify anything to indicate that our current bull is about to make yet another quick costume change



Wednesday, February 22, 2012

TTT TAKING NEW MEMBERS JOIN TODAY !

Good Morning. I continue to get questions as the reason behind the current run for the roses in the stock market. What about Greece, they ask. Aren't there huge problems with the bailout deal that was finally arranged on Tuesday? What if the private bond holders don't go along with the debt swap? Isn't there a risk that the Germans won't approve the deal? And won't we eventually see a default? What about the rest of Europe? And what about those big problems in Portugal? And on and on and...

Unfortunately, the answers to the questions make those asking them even more befuddled. Yes, there are problems with the bailout deal. Yes, there is a risk that the private bond holders might just walk away after taking it in the shorts yet again. Yes, there is the risk that the Germans and Fins may vote no when asked to approve the money for Greece's bailout loans. And yes, there are other debt bombs lurking in Europe and all over the world, for that matter.

However, the point I try to make to those asking these very good questions is that the focus on the stock market is constantly moving. Sure, the questions are valid, I say. But, I proceed to add that the stock market has moved on - and so should they. It's not that the issues at hand don't matter; they do - just not to the guys and gals running the big money around the world.

If you've been paying attention, the action in the stock market for the better part of the past three months has made this clear. No longer does a rumor out of Nicolas Sarkozy's office move the market 1%. No longer does the German's insistence on more austerity ruin the mood of a good day. Nope, it appears that the days of the Dow moving hundreds of points in a matter of minutes based on news out of Europe may be behind us.

In order to drive the point home, I toss in the idea that the big declines seen in the stock market in 2010 and again in 2011 were the result of worries that a credit event in Europe would create another "Lehman moment" and put the global banking system at risk. So, given that there is no imminent risk of a credit event and that the banks of the world are now stronger than they were last year (and the year before that), stocks have moved on to more mundane things like earnings, valuations, economics and the rest of the basic fundamentals.

My final point to those seeking an opinion or two from yours truly is that the big money is accumulating stocks - and that perhaps they should be doing the same (but only on dips, of course). Remember, hedge funds, which are arguably the biggest driving force in the market these days, came into 2011 underinvested. I saw a report Tuesday that as of the end of November, hedge funds held about 50% less equity exposure than normal (80% vs. 130%). And with the probability of the much feared Lehman moment dwindling this year, the hedgies appear to be moving their equity exposure back up towards more normal levels. According to Hedge Fund Research, after the third worst year on record in 2011, hedge funds are making money again this year - not quite as much as the market mind you, but the momentum of returns seems to be building.

Does this mean that stocks won't encounter a pullback anytime soon or that the current relentless move higher will continue for weeks to come? Of course not. Stocks are extended and are certainly ripe for a setback in the near-term. However, unless there is something meaningful behind the next pullback in stock prices, investors who find themselves underinvested may want to think about doing what the hedgies are doing - moving on.





Friday, February 17, 2012

TTT NEW BULL MARKET

Good Morning. During the majority of last year, it seemed that all (yes ALL) the news was bad. Greece was surely going to default, which was going to trigger vast unknown quantities of CDS, which, this time, would tank the global banking system, which, in turn, would send us back to the middle ages bartering for goods and services with grains and livestock, and protecting our homes with guns. In a nutshell, the news flow and the macro outlook was a nightmare as no one could imagine anything positive ever happening again.

As I recall, even if Greece was somehow spared and a "messy default" avoided, the domino effect from the rest of the PIGIS would take over and the world as we know it would cease to exist. And if by some off chance the defaults could be avoided in Europe, then the recessions resulting from the mess this crisis had created would surely plunge even the best economies of the world into something that would make the Great Depression in the U.S. look like a cake walk.

As I have written any number of times over the past six months, the negativity had become so thick you probably couldn't cut it with even the sharpest knife. A pall of gloom engulfed the markets and just about everybody on the planet knew we were doomed. It appeared that the leaders of Europe were powerless to fight the contagion that would surely spread throughout the world. And while politicians talked a good line about working together, it became apparent near the holidays that no other country was willing to buck up and lend the trillions needed to "save Europe."

However, as we were allowing our brains to be invaded by the pervasive negative feedback loop, one very simple fact was forgotten. You see, even during the worst of times, good things can occasionally happen. Although even the good news was ignored last year, this year appears to be a horse of a completely different color.

Thus far in 2012, the good news has come in bunches and from the strangest places such as the U.S. housing market (which to hear the bears tell it should be heading down still), corporate earnings, economic output, and yes, even the jobs market. To be sure, things are not peachy keen by any stretch of the imagination. But at the same time, things are FAR better than the doom that dominated the markets near the end of last year.

Thus, the most important lessons to be heeded in 2012 are: (1) Good things can happen - no matter how dark the night may appear, and (2) Investors simply must be flexible enough to change with the times (or at the very least, follow systems that can force them to adapt - even if they don't want to).

Am I saying that things are wonderful in the global economy and that we've embarked on a new secular bull market. Uh, no. But I am saying that when the market discounts the worst and then the sky doesn't actually fall (I know, I know, it's coming, just wait), again, good things can happen. Remember, the stock market is a discounting mechanism of future expectations. And right now, stock prices appear to be suggesting that the U.S. economy is growing, that the deal in Greece is going to get done, that the ECB DID know what it was doing with the LTRO, that there won't be a 'Lehman moment' in Europe, and that Apple may sell more of its products than anyone - including the late Steve Jobs - ever dreamed of.

The key point this morning is that something that everyone knows (such as how the world was going to end because Greece was going to default) isn't really worth knowing in the market. In short, by the time "everyone" knows what's going on, the market has already discounted the potential outcome. And then if something good actually does come along, traders scramble to get back on the right side of the macro view and an unstoppable melt-up ensues.

So, while stocks are indeed overbought and a pullback could occur at any time and for any reason, the fact that the S&P 500 is up +23.5% from its low means that according to the most common definition, this is a new bull market. And as such, one should be flexible enough to play the game accordingly. You never know, good things might just continue to happen.




Saturday, February 11, 2012

TTT SELL SIGNAL IN FULL BLOOM

Hi ,

We have done a good job stockpicking this year !


Symbol CP Chng % Price Gain since 1/1/12 % Gain Since 1/1/12 Entry
.
DE 87.55 -0.38 -0.43 8.43 11% 79.12
.
CF 180.15 -5.18 -2.8 30.40 20% 149.75
.
POT 44.7 -1.17 -2.55 1.96 5% 42.74
.
CRM 128.44 2.83 2.25 24.26 23% 104.18
.
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Short Avg 16%
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2/11/2012 14:24:09



Tuesday, February 7, 2012

Sunday, February 5, 2012

TTT SELL SIGNAL HIT

New unemployment claims in the U.S. fell to a lower level than most experts had expected according to figures released by the Labor Department. For the week ending January 28, the DOL reported a seasonally adjusted level of 367,000 initial claims for unemployment. That marks a decrease of 12,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 379,000 - slightly higher than the 377,000 initially reported. graphs - RTTNews



Payrolls expanded by much more than economists had predicted in January, while the unemployment rate declined. The U.S. economy added 243,000 jobs in January, according to statistics released by the Department of Labor on Friday. Economists had expected an increase of 135,000



The report showed that the unemployment rate came in at 8.3 percent. Economists were looking for the jobless rate to hold steady at 8.5 percent



The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago Inc. said this week its business barometer declined to 60.2 from 62.2 in December. Readings above 50 signal growth. Economists forecast the gauge would rise to 63.




Orders to factories rose in December, supported by a rebound in business investment in capital goods. In addition, service companies grew at the fastest pace in 11 months in January as companies started hiring to keep up with rising demand. Factory orders rose 1.1 percent in December after gaining 2.2 percent in November, the Commerce Department reported Friday. For the year, total orders were up 12.1 percent after a gain of 12.9 percent in 2010.



The Institute for Supply Management said Friday that its index of non-manufacturing activity jumped to 56.8 percent in January from 53 percent in December. The survey's employment index soared to its highest level since February 2006. Any reading above 50 indicates expansion.



Friday, the Labor Department reported that nonfarm payrolls (jobs) increased by a significant 243,000 in January. This chart provides some perspective on the US job market. Note how the number of jobs steadily increased from 1961 to 2001 (top chart). During the last economic recovery (i.e. the end of 2001 to the end of 2007), job growth was unable to get back up to its long-term trend (first time since 1961). More recently, the number of nonfarm payrolls has been working its way higher but at a pace that is not fast enough to close the gap on its 1961 to 2001 trend. In fact, the current number of US jobs is still below its 2001 peak.





This past week's top sectors.





This past week's indices - the small caps gained the most.



The monthly charts are still looking quite bullish. The NASDAQ has broken to multi-year highs, the Dow not far from moving towards that 13,000 mark from 2010. If it breaks to the upside there it could also eventually test the 2007 highs at 14,200. The S&P 500 needs to move over 1380 and the Russell 2000 is nearing its all-time highs as well.



On the 60 min chart we see how bullish the indices have been, breaking out over the top band, going sideways and then running back up to it again. It is very bullish when they push the bands up in this way and you want to see that the Center Bollinger band holds on pullbacks.



A standalone view of the Dow monthly chart and the overhead challenge towards the 2007 high.



The weekly chart shows it just moving back inside the ascending parallel channel.



The daily shows how close it is to closing over the 2010 highs. The MACD is flattening out and the histogram rather flat. The RSI is close to overbought territory but when it made its 2010 high it was a bit over 70.



The 10 min renko chart shows the steep move up at the start of the day on Friday when the jobs report numbers came out. Then it stayed flat for most of the day.



There are two sets of Fibonacci projections on this two-day-per-bar Dow futures chart. The first projection based off the last dip had a 161.8% target that was reached on Friday. The longer term projection is based from the 2011 low and has the first 127.2% target at 13,313.



A closer view on the 120 min chart shows that big move and the breakout of trendline Friday morning and how the Fibonacci level was also R3 pivot and both together gave too much resistance to allow it to move higher



The transports moved up only half a percent this past week, still well under the top weekly Bollinger band.



Utilities stayed in a tight range right on dual moving averages.



The black chart monthly view of the NASDAQ showing that December volume was up over the November volume. It was not by a lot, but enough to help it along to close in this new territory by a bit.



And the weekly chart shows it about midway inside the parallel channel so plenty of room to move for a while. It is short term overbought but RSI also has room to run.



The moving average of number of new high son the Nasdaq made an impressive run to and slightly over the peak it hit in July. This is just what you want to see in a bull market.



The NASDAQ summation index is now almost 100 points away from its five day EMA as the index rapidly moved to new high levels.



The NASDAQ 100 closed right at the top Bollinger band So a bit of a pullback this week could be expected. You can see it's rapid rise this year has basically been pushing that band up. At 78 the RSI is short term overbought.



The daily NASDAQ 100 futures with two sets of Fibonacci projection levels both short and longer-term.



The volatility index closed the week at 17.



The semiconductor index is back over the trendline and shorter-term horizontal resistance.



The moving average of the number of new highs minus new lows on the NYSE (lower section) continued to climb and very near former resistance from February of last year. The NYSE itself however has broken above resistance.



89% of all stocks on the NYSE are now trading over their 50 day moving average. This is quite bullish though it is at levels where we often have begun some pullback in the past but it has can remain above these levels for a month or more.



The lazy S&P 500 is 136 points above the last buy and within pennies of the 1345 resistance level. RSI on this weekly chart is only at 61 so it has room to run.



The weekly chart shows it closing at its high and right at former resistance.



Here a closer view on a daily chart and you see it at the top Bollinger band with RSI over 70. Putting it in overbought territory short term.



On the 60 min chart RSI is also high but medium term it is only at about the center of this ascending parallel channel.



The S&P 500 ETF 2X long dipped to sell and below the channel for a couple of days and then switched back to a buy for February.



The S&P 500 futures chart showing both longer and short term Fibonacci projection levels if it breaks over the the 1357 resistance.



Here a 120 min chart with its move to R3 Pivot on Friday, which coincided with this 127.2% projection. In this timeframe, we see the 161.8% just over 1350.



The standalone Russell 2000 monthly chart showing its current relation to its all-time high set in 2011. The histogram in this timeframe is still slightly negative and the MACD is just about to cross over bullishly. If those happen, this could start a larger move on a breakout above the all-time high.



On the daily chart we see the close over the top Bollinger band with RSI over 70 so a candidate for an overbought pullback.



The move on Friday brought the Russell back up and over this 60 min parallel channel it has been in since mid December. Note that it also took it very close to the measured move of the inverse head and shoulders we pointed out in December



The 15 min Russell 2000 faster to respond, had a crossover on its MACD and RSI dropped back under 70 by the close on Friday.



The 3X bullish ETF for the Russell broke above its ascending parallel channel and moved to a secondary one above which was also at the R3 Pivot Friday its RSI remained at elevated levels at the close.



The retail sector ETF continued its move higher closing at its high for the week.



The banking sector got a boost this week, moving over resistance as shown. This pattern shows a possible resistance projection at 48 at the 161.8% projection.



A closer view of the breakout on Friday as it moved up over 3%.



The 10 year treasury note yield moved up strongly on Friday closing at the 50 day EMA - yield of 1.94%.



The Dow Jones world market index gained 2.4% for the week and above horizontal resistance.



The emerging market ETF also closed well above resistance as a continuation from last week's move over the 50 week EM a.