Wednesday, July 30, 2008


IBM 128.86 +1.20 (0.94%) 173.96B
GE 28.95 +0.55 (1.94%) 288.56B
ZF 4.39 +0.08 (1.86%) 403.69M
ZTR 4.25 -0.04 (-0.93%) 487.03M
CAT 72.07 +1.08 (1.52%) 44.33B
WL 23.74 -0.51 (-2.12%) 1.60B
MO 21.70 +0.33 (1.54%) 45.45B
SM ******* 44.80 +2.18 (5.11%) 2.76B
CHK ******** 50.95 +3.77 (7.99%) 29.23B
UYM ******* 88.99 +6.80 (8.27%) 33.37M
UWM 50.77 +0.56 (1.12%) 152.31M
QLD 73.89 +1.22 (1.68%) 1.16B
UNP 83.21 +2.20 (2.72%) 46.00B
NUE 60.22 +1.02 (1.72%) 18.88B
USB 31.03 +1.01 (3.36%) 54.02B
OXY ******** 80.69 +4.74 (6.24%) 66.22B

***** SUPERSTARS *****


IRA 100% Long 25% ZTR 25% ZF ( Both yield over 12% Plus Cap App) 25% MO 25% GE

Model Portfolio 10% IBM 10% Cat 10% WL 10% SM 10% CHK 10% UYM 10% UWM 10% QLD
10% UNP 10% NUE

Bonus Margin Stocks USB and OXY were marined out of Options and futures funds for 50% and 50%

So we now are 80% long and 20% cash

Traders are 20% short and 80% cash looking for a drop in SPX cash to 1262-65 to buy long

Hope you have enjoyed the rally !

Again , The TRADERS is now taking the Q4 reservations which include DECEMBER FREE !
So if you want to try out our Famous Traders group you can now reserve for the Q4 for just $100 for the rest of 2008 !

This offer expires soon so I hope we can keep all the great Traders from the current group and introduce some new investors for Q4 !

My sincere thanks to all of you for making TTT Hedge Fund 2008 possible...and with the past two days gains we are now back on course for a tremendous market stomping year !

PayPal $75 and $100 for both to :

Investing Made Easy !!!

Tuesday, July 29, 2008


(2:07 PM) aszag: Chub I was booted off the same way. I went to Paltalkscene and searched for TTT hedge fund chat, found it and put that in my favorites
(2:09 PM) Fulkdaddy: Oil popping. Inventories tomorrow am
(2:10 PM) thomas_Poland: We just asked Tom to keep you Zags and Chub of the chat
tomthetrader: good everyone should have TTT in their favorites and have everyone in here as aPal works better thatway
(2:10 PM) thomas_Poland:
(2:10 PM) joanc: anybody follow YRWC?
tomthetrader: 1:56pm hedgies takong a little off
(2:10 PM) thomas_Poland: this 1257 is going to be a little top
tomthetrader: Yes Joanie
(2:10 PM) joanc: YRCW
tomthetrader: I am a owner from early spring
(2:10 PM) thomas_Poland: I should know that because I was stopped out at 1257
tomthetrader: trucking
tomthetrader: WERN too
(2:11 PM) joanc: what do you think? buy?
(2:11 PM) thomas_Poland: I checked the area after I was stopped out
(2:11 PM) thomas_Poland: f...k
tomthetrader: UNP I like better !
(2:11 PM) joanc: ok
tomthetrader: WERN
tomthetrader: But it is tempting to double down
tomthetrader: don't let me hold you back
tomthetrader: I still love AMR and CAL
tomthetrader: ALK
tomthetrader: I love transports
tomthetrader: YRCW has four letters too
(2:12 PM) joanc: so do I, thx, will check out WERN
tomthetrader: Cramer going UPS
(2:12 PM) joanc: it's one I've followed for months, never bought
(2:13 PM) berniectx: AD holding well +1601
tomthetrader: I have several small positions in airlines housing cons disc trucking
tomthetrader: we put out5 a BUY ON XLY today
(2:14 PM) joanc: sounds like a good plan
(2:14 PM) Fulkdaddy: ALK, CAL and AMR are beautiful bullish falling wedge patterns!
tomthetrader: yes ..seems like the end is here ???
(2:15 PM) joanc: I did well on CAL and AMR last week, love to hear about good chart patterns
(2:15 PM) aszag: I had been naked qid Aug 51 calls for about 2 weeks and closed out the position today for a profit of .85. I had 80 contracts and they were so far out of the money that they didn't move much even when the market went down. (sold to open at 1.25 and bought them back to close today at .4)
(2:16 PM) Fulkdaddy: As long as oil continues down...if it pops I think we retest 1200 like Art Cashin said the market needs to do before a good low is made.
tomthetrader: Zags ..that is a great ...interesting play ...Dave I think if we do get a retest it will be so ugly I won't buyit !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
tomthetrader: And I will buy anything ????
(2:17 PM) TraderTim: Fulk, how would you play that if it happened? and if it didn't?
(2:18 PM) Fulkdaddy: I would see if it much panic was in the air...and login to PALTALK!!!!!!!!
(2:18 PM) TraderTim: I hear ya loud and clear
tomthetrader: there you go ..we will move our stops up to 1250.50
(2:18 PM) Fulkdaddy: Tom is the best short-term market maker I have ever seen...he says he won't but my hunch is, there would be some serious call buying!
tomthetrader: It would really be a fun day ..esp if we were 100% cash which we probaly will be
tomthetrader: not sure the main fund wants to get down to these levels again
tomthetrader: 1252.50 move stops to
tomthetrader: YM Buyers 320 long
tomthetrader: 11320 1 contract long
tomthetrader: YM 1 long 11320 stop 11300
(2:23 PM) billb1947: are we talking about the same ym-i just got in at 11300
(2:23 PM) thomas_Poland: 11320 cash bill
tomthetrader: 11320 cash
(2:23 PM) billb1947: oooooohhhhhh
(2:23 PM) billb1947: sorry
tomthetrader: OK
(2:24 PM) thomas_Poland: shame on you
(2:24 PM) billb1947:
(2:24 PM) thomas_Poland: Tom like you said before .. I feel pain of missing a big part of the move
tomthetrader: no prob can find the futures here YM U8 [10] MINI DOW JONES INDUS.-$5 Sep ’08 14:14:49 11,287.00 151.00 11,129.00 11,330.00 11,101.00
(2:24 PM) thomas_Poland: and I lost some money on short
(2:25 PM) thomas_Poland: still positive two days but could make much more
tomthetrader: I would never say I told you so ?
(2:25 PM) thomas_Poland: yes
(2:25 PM) thomas_Poland: 26 trades 2 losses
(2:25 PM) thomas_Poland:
(2:25 PM) thomas_Poland: last 26 trades
(2:25 PM) thomas_Poland: and both on short side
(2:26 PM) thomas_Poland: But as soon as I see a nominal new high I will short for two weeks
(2:26 PM) thomas_Poland: no matter what Masta says
tomthetrader: no you won't
(2:26 PM) thomas_Poland:
(2:26 PM) thomas_Poland:
(2:26 PM) thomas_Poland: Can we have move sideways
tomthetrader: you will follow us to the promised land of huge rewards for frequent traders
(2:26 PM) thomas_Poland: ok
(2:27 PM) thomas_Poland: yes Sir
tomthetrader: Dave : if you7 want a whopper of a holding in OIL / divi ...BUY BPT
tomthetrader: BPT is a BUY here for those who can take a possible run up in oil and a Huge dividend
tomthetrader: Just flashed on my screen ..we have owned it before
(2:31 PM) aszag: Tom are you closing out all positions in traders at the end of the day even if it doesn't move up to 250 in the Dow
tomthetrader: BPT
tomthetrader: Yes
tomthetrader: I want to be 100% cash to make 100% sure this was not a one day wonder and it looks like something we can build on
(2:33 PM) joanc: cusip # on YM? pls,thx
tomthetrader: YM U8 [10]
tomthetrader: cash just DJIA
tomthetrader: lots of puts being boufght
(2:40 PM) thomas_Poland: 1257 holds
tomthetrader: lots of puts
tomthetrader: 1250.50 stop on all positions
tomthetrader: 113000 cash YM stop
tomthetrader: 23-7 a/d line
(2:42 PM) thomas_Poland: I have to live with beeing stopped out on high of the day
(2:42 PM) thomas_Poland:
tomthetrader: we will add to our long YM position here with 1 more at cash 11315
tomthetrader: 2 long YM
(2:42 PM) thomas_Poland: got iyt
(2:42 PM) thomas_Poland: it
tomthetrader: and IYT ? It is good long Thomas ???
(2:43 PM) thomas_Poland:
tomthetrader: stopped out
tomthetrader: out of long ym with small loss
(2:44 PM) thomas_Poland: on what ?
(2:44 PM) billb1947: sick of being stopped out
tomthetrader: YM stopped out
(2:44 PM) thomas_Poland: 11300?
tomthetrader: going to get stopped on spyht and sso
tomthetrader: at 1250.50 cash
(2:45 PM) TraderTim: unless she bounces
(2:45 PM) TraderTim: earthquack
(2:45 PM) billb1947: the question is when to buy back in
(2:45 PM) TraderTim: maybe this is a buying opportunity
(2:45 PM) thomas_Poland: bill at 1252
(2:45 PM) thomas_Poland: 1242
(2:45 PM) thomas_Poland: sorry
(2:46 PM) billb1947: i hope you're right thomas
tomthetrader: 5.6 ..not bad
tomthetrader: should have a buy on YM we will reenter at 11300 again
tomthetrader: 2 long
(2:47 PM) thomas_Poland: ok 2 long YM at 1300
(2:48 PM) thomas_Poland: 113300
(2:48 PM) thomas_Poland: 11300
(2:48 PM) thomas_Poland:
(2:50 PM) Alert: Breaking News: 5.8 quake hits Los Angeles area
(2:53 PM) billb1947: tom-holding ym overnight?
(2:56 PM) billb1947: surely not
(2:57 PM) TraderTim: Tom missed audio
(2:58 PM) les13436: Anybody know when GLW reports??
(2:59 PM) billb1947: bonds in 1min
tomthetrader: *:30 am tomorrow /
tomthetrader: GLW 8:30am tomorrow
(3:02 PM) Alert: Get the latest on the presidential campaign in the XM POTUS Press Pool Live room in the Radio/TV Section NOW
tomthetrader: Thomas is going to list longs on here and we will have audio in 5 minutes
(3:15 PM) thomas_Poland: Open positions: 500 SSO at 58.50
(3:15 PM) thomas_Poland: 30 SPYHT at 3.30
(3:15 PM) thomas_Poland: 2 YM long at 11300
(3:17 PM) TraderTim: Tom, what are you seeing on the indicators as we come down the stretch. I am still in.
(3:18 PM) Docqb: y
(3:18 PM) bloomert: y
(3:18 PM) Michael TTT: yes
(3:18 PM) aszag: y
(3:18 PM) gerry204: y
(3:18 PM) billb1947: y
(3:18 PM) Docqb: great
(3:18 PM) les13436: y
(3:18 PM) thomas_Poland: y
(3:18 PM) TraderTim: y
(3:18 PM) tradster_ny: y
(3:18 PM) Docqb: clinic gets busy closer to school
(3:18 PM) wclegg: y
(3:19 PM) wclegg: Good
(3:21 PM) Docqb: USB ?
(3:22 PM) Docqb: yee ha !!
(3:24 PM) thomas_Poland: I have it somewhere
(3:24 PM) thomas_Poland: have to find it
(3:24 PM) TraderTim: WOW . . . I am sweating
(3:25 PM) TraderTim: I bought during the earthquake
(3:26 PM) ssny2004: thanks Tom!
(3:26 PM) Docqb: thank you tom
tomthetrader: Thanks
(3:26 PM) TraderTim: thx tom another amazing learning experience
tomthetrader: great
tomthetrader: learning to place stops in a running up market
(3:27 PM) TraderTim: who would have thought you would give us an earthquake to test our skills
tomthetrader: taking profits in a bear long
tomthetrader: lots of good things
(3:27 PM) bloomert: Even an earthquake can't keep TTT from making money
(3:27 PM) TraderTim: exactly . . .
(3:27 PM) TraderTim: TTT
(3:27 PM) TraderTim: TTT
(3:27 PM) thomas_Poland: LOL
tomthetrader: Bad ..
(3:27 PM) thomas_Poland: I'm on the floor
(3:27 PM) thomas_Poland:
(3:27 PM) thomas_Poland: Go California
(3:27 PM) thomas_Poland:
(3:27 PM) DE_TTT: Yes...but the floor here is moving
(3:27 PM) thomas_Poland: Tim knight
(3:27 PM) thomas_Poland: :
(3:27 PM) thomas_Poland:
(3:28 PM) thomas_Poland: Tom give us some nice Tim Knight voice ??
(3:28 PM) thomas_Poland:
tomthetrader: Tim Knight just happened to " Iwent long into the earhtquake and saved my portfolio "
(3:28 PM) thomas_Poland: You do it perfectly
(3:28 PM) thomas_Poland: LOL
(3:28 PM) thomas_Poland: LOL
(3:28 PM) thomas_Poland: LOL
(3:28 PM) TraderTim: who is this Tim Knight
(3:28 PM) Docqb: lol
(3:28 PM) thomas_Poland: Tiiiimmmm???????
(3:29 PM) thomas_Poland: slopeofhope
(3:29 PM) thomas_Poland: a gay trader
(3:29 PM) thomas_Poland:
tomthetrader: yes ...
(3:29 PM) TraderTim: oh yeh, I saw him there but what is the history?
tomthetrader: He banned me from his site
(3:29 PM) thomas_Poland: he lost few millions but made more on book
(3:29 PM) thomas_Poland:
(3:29 PM) TraderTim: no way!!!!
(3:29 PM) thomas_Poland: and now says he is good trader
(3:30 PM) thomas_Poland: always "Just in time:
(3:30 PM) TraderTim: TTT banned . . . thank you TIm Knight for giving Tom to us. What a bad trade (book or no book)
tomthetrader: we tracked him during the largest bear market rally ever in history he was so short but told his members he is annualized up 80%
(3:30 PM) thomas_Poland: Tom is banned on every blog he was commenting
(3:30 PM) DE_TTT: The history is that he NEVER loses money...even when he's dead wrong. Performance nums completely bogus...sort of like a combo of Loch Ness monster and Sasquatch.
(3:31 PM) les13436: Tom: I still have a few QQQIR's with a small profit, sell or hold overnight?
(3:31 PM) TraderTim: What I like about you TOm is you seem to have a high integrity sense for this site . . .
tomthetrader: Sell
tomthetrader: We have to be HONEST ..catch me in a lie and I pay for it by you guys leaving ..I wouldn't pay 2 cents to a site that lies
tomthetrader: QQQIR you can break even or take profits
(3:32 PM) TraderTim: Knowing that about you IS what helped during the last two days . ..
tomthetrader: near the highs here
(3:33 PM) TraderTim: Still learning this short term stuff . . . really emotionally draining
(3:33 PM) DE_TTT: Yes...honesty and tolerance for opposing ideas is the foundation of what makes this group good...imho, of course.
tomthetrader: Thanks TRUST is key ..and it takes alot ..even Thomas doesn't trust 100% ..WHICH ISWHY HE DID NOT MAKE A TON TODAY ???
(3:33 PM) thomas_Poland: Tim you have to drink a lot
(3:33 PM) thomas_Poland:
(3:33 PM) thomas_Poland:
(3:33 PM) thomas_Poland: right Tom
(3:34 PM) TraderTim: I think I am going to have a glass of wine when this day ends . . .
(3:34 PM) thomas_Poland: But you must admit I go with you almost always
(3:34 PM) thomas_Poland: a glass??? a bottle maybe
tomthetrader: ALMOST . except when you are smarter than me ?? Like today
(3:34 PM) thomas_Poland: right right
(3:34 PM) thomas_Poland: I'm still learning you know
(3:35 PM) DE_TTT: + =
tomthetrader: note to elf : Thomas : Don Not short a 3-1 pos a/d line
tomthetrader: Nas should hit 55.00 up
(3:35 PM) thomas_Poland: ok ok
(3:35 PM) TraderTim: love that DE
(3:35 PM) thomas_Poland: I will never short 2-1 a/d line ok? ???
(3:35 PM) aszag: I was trying to sell naked qid August 48 calls when the market came down but it did not hit my limit price
tomthetrader: hope the QLD rally is for real
tomthetrader: won't know until we read the tea leaves ...Zags believe ???
tomthetrader: in rally
tomthetrader: 5.4 now at LA
(3:37 PM) Alert: ====SECURITY BULLETIN!=======
Clicking on a link to any site that offers
-To give you a blue nickname for free,
-To give you the ability to be invisible or,
-To help you manipulate the Paltalk software,
violates Paltalk’s Terms of Service AND/OR is a hacking site whose intention is to steal your nickname, password and/or credit card information.
Remember, if you want Paltalk software or you want to LOG-IN to Paltalk, be safe and go to
tomthetrader: Gerry ? LA OK ?
(3:38 PM) gerry204: yes, shook the house, but all is okay
(3:38 PM) thomas_Poland: o man
(3:38 PM) TraderTim: got it
(3:38 PM) thomas_Poland: 2.50??
tomthetrader: touched 250 points UP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
tomthetrader: Dow hit 250 up
(3:39 PM) DE_TTT: ok, Tom...we might need to hire a better offense, of course!
(3:39 PM) thomas_Poland: ohh ok
(3:39 PM) thomas_Poland: LOL
(3:39 PM) thomas_Poland: you should not sing
(3:39 PM) thomas_Poland: it is worse than Tim Knight voice
(3:39 PM) Michael TTT: Thomas, what is LOL??
(3:39 PM) thomas_Poland: Laughing out loud??
(3:40 PM) thomas_Poland: Look at google
tomthetrader: so many bears so big of rally
(3:40 PM) thomas_Poland: ROTFL
(3:40 PM) thomas_Poland: rolling on the floor laughing
(3:40 PM) thomas_Poland: etc
(3:40 PM) thomas_Poland: You got it Michael?
(3:40 PM) thomas_Poland:
(3:40 PM) thomas_Poland: FYI : for your information
tomthetrader: I got you going Thomas !
(3:40 PM) thomas_Poland: FY : F..k y...
(3:40 PM) thomas_Poland: kidding
tomthetrader: Hey
tomthetrader: general audiences
tomthetrader: where is craig /
(3:41 PM) thomas_Poland: I was writing as you were writing
(3:41 PM) thomas_Poland: 250
(3:42 PM) thomas_Poland: Tom you are selling at the close?
(3:44 PM) Docqb: lol
(3:44 PM) Michael TTT: Did he start his own company??
(3:45 PM) ssny2004: tom what about xlk lv?
(3:45 PM) Michael TTT: Was it Macke Capital??
(3:45 PM) ssny2004: thanks!
(3:46 PM) thomas_Poland:
(3:47 PM) thomas_Poland: What makes a good trader Tom ?
tomthetrader: consistently beating the market over the years
tomthetrader: no losing years no matter what the condition
(3:47 PM) thomas_Poland: yes I know that .. but what do one have to know or learn to be great trader?
tomthetrader: ability to adjust to every cycle small to large
(3:47 PM) TraderTim: We hope you can help us get there Tom
tomthetrader: I hope you all stay
tomthetrader: and we all get better together
(3:49 PM) Fulkdaddy: Tim and I are on the same page Tom. We love the help you have been giving us...
(3:50 PM) Fulkdaddy: Fulkdaddy out...see you all tomorrow...a golf course is calling my name!
(3:50 PM) TraderTim: Thanks to FULKDADDY for getting me involved with Tom . . . having FULK and TOM is a great combination punch . . .
(3:51 PM) thomas_Poland: Tim I'm here for a year and I must say it was my best choice
(3:51 PM) Fulkdaddy: Yes we are almost a perfect exactly what Tom says and do exactly the opposite of what I do.
(3:51 PM) TraderTim: Ha Ha
(3:51 PM) thomas_Poland: But I'm waiting also for a book of Tom .. but he will not write it at all
(3:51 PM) TraderTim: Not true . . . Fulk you have some great instincts
(3:52 PM) TraderTim: You have helped a lot since you are a natural short term trader (I am more an intermediate but am retraining myself)
(3:52 PM) thomas_Poland: not chance for a book ... right Tom?
(3:52 PM) thomas_Poland: LOL
(3:53 PM) Fulkdaddy: Yhea baby!!!
(3:53 PM) thomas_Poland: you sound like 50Cent
(3:53 PM) thomas_Poland:
(3:53 PM) TraderTim: this is a LIVE book everyday
(3:53 PM) thomas_Poland: yes Tim
(3:53 PM) les13436: Thnaks Tom,
(3:53 PM) ssny2004: congrats to all, thanks to Tom
tomthetrader: YES YES YES
(3:53 PM) Michael TTT: Thanks Tom
(3:53 PM) bloomert: Thanks TTT!
(3:54 PM) Docqb: Dog, you rock !!!!!!
(3:54 PM) thomas_Poland: yeahh
(3:54 PM) TraderTim: TTT=Thanks to Tom!!!
tomthetrader: Thank you guys let me do this without it would be me and the head of international trading in our matching pink dresses drinking cheap vodka ?
(3:54 PM) thomas_Poland: ok ok enough .. don't let him think he is very good
(3:54 PM) thomas_Poland: yeahh
(3:55 PM) TraderTim: ok let's turn it on THOMAS . . . thanks to THOMAS
(3:55 PM) thomas_Poland: not TTT but PDT
(3:55 PM) thomas_Poland: Pink Dres Trader
(3:55 PM) thomas_Poland:
(3:55 PM) TraderTim: OK PINKY
tomthetrader: BUY POT PCP ..just kidding
tomthetrader: not on drugs on LIFE
tomthetrader: Had 7 accoubts long to the gills
tomthetrader: and I see thectotals
tomthetrader: and the totals are titillating
tomthetrader: 3 minutes and realized gains start to be turned over to the TRUST
tomthetrader: as the MAIN FUND GROWS TO 1.89 mil
tomthetrader: from 21K
(3:56 PM) thomas_Poland: let me know what prices you cover positions
tomthetrader: 262.50
tomthetrader: we will sell now the SSO
tomthetrader: and please fills ???
tomthetrader: 264,50
tomthetrader: MOC
tomthetrader: Market on Close
tomthetrader: 264.50 highs
tomthetrader: SSO B/A ?
tomthetrader: Thomas ..whatdo we have opened /
(3:58 PM) thomas_Poland: 11300 Dow and SSo
(3:59 PM) thomas_Poland: and SpYHT
tomthetrader: Got you on MSN
(4:00 PM) tradster_ny: out YM 11372
(4:00 PM) tradster_ny: unreal
tomthetrader: SPYHT ????
(4:01 PM) TraderTim: Remember yesterday when we were hoping to get in at 1240-1245
tomthetrader: yes
tomthetrader: we got what we wanted
(4:01 PM) TraderTim: what a ride
(4:02 PM) thomas_Poland: And I wanted 1270 in the morning and sold at 1249??
tomthetrader: unanserd prayers /
(4:02 PM) thomas_Poland: and went short like an ..... idiot????
tomthetrader: yes
(4:02 PM) thomas_Poland: hey
(4:02 PM) thomas_Poland: be careful
(4:02 PM) thomas_Poland:
tomthetrader: sorry
(4:02 PM) Docqb: yaba daba dooooooo.....
tomthetrader: last day of trash talking
tomthetrader: scooby
tomthetrader: doo
tomthetrader: is HOT
tomthetrader: 7 accounts
(4:03 PM) DE_TTT: MER 8x normal volume today
(4:03 PM) thomas_Poland: and I made only few Zlotskies losing my core long
tomthetrader: all 50-100% longt and only 2 losers
(4:03 PM) thomas_Poland: please give me some correction
tomthetrader: good sign on MRK bottom
tomthetrader: DDM what a animal ..QLD unstoppable
(4:04 PM) TraderTim: MV: "There's an order to buy on close of 15M shares of MER; 10 M have been paired off"
(4:05 PM) TraderTim: That was at 3:53pm
(4:05 PM) TraderTim: What does that mean Tom?
(4:05 PM) Docqb: tom i have a confession, wanted a bank bought BAC right before the USB rec..... I'd rather be lucky than good... or both... lol
tomthetrader: yes BAC is great ,..I had calls on BAC
(4:07 PM) Alert: This is a G rated room intended for a General Audience including minors. Offensive language is not permitted.
(4:07 PM) Alert: Hi , Welcome to TTT

(4:07 PM) Alert: This is a G rated room intended for a General Audience including minors. Offensive language is not permitted.
(4:07 PM) Alert: Hi , Welcome to TTT

(4:07 PM) Alert: Hi , Welcome to TTT

(4:08 PM) Alert: This is a G rated room intended for a General Audience including minors. Offensive language is not permitted.
(4:08 PM) Alert: Hi , Welcome to TTT

tomthetrader: TTT
tomthetrader: OUT
tomthetrader: 5% long 95% cash
tomthetrader: 12% rise in UYG and we we recommending up 4% ?
tomthetrader: 2.55 up UYG
(4:26 PM) PhotosbyDill: anyone here?
tomthetrader: Tom
tomthetrader: TTT
tomthetrader: Here
(4:27 PM) TraderTim: y
(4:28 PM) TraderTim: I am heading out Tom . . . see ya in the morning. Thx for a great day.
(4:29 PM) syzygy111: Bad day for me to be on the road and miss all the action
(4:29 PM) TraderTim: Bert, it was one of the best days
(4:29 PM) syzygy111: I saw
(4:29 PM) syzygy111: Good for you all
(4:29 PM) PhotosbyDill: Tom looks like a fun day!!! I at least went out and made some $$$$. I did a DBA spread before going out.
(4:30 PM) TraderTim: Bert, are you going to the Louis N. event on wed. Dave and I are going.
(4:30 PM) syzygy111: Didn't know about it
(4:30 PM) TraderTim: cool
(4:31 PM) TraderTim: I will send you an email
tomthetrader: SPYHT 3.25 -3.85 in a few hours /


IBM 127.66 +1.41 (1.12%) 172.34B
GE 28.40 +0.71 (2.56%) 283.07B
ZF 4.31 +0.10 (2.38%) 388.04M
ZTR 4.28 +0.05 (1.18%) 489.31M
CAT 70.99 +1.80 (2.60%) 43.67B
WL 24.60 +1.92 (8.47%) 1.66B
MO 21.37 +0.47 (2.25%) 44.76B
SM 42.62 -1.61 (-3.64%) 2.62B
CHK 47.18 -1.75 (-3.58%) 27.07B
UYM 82.02 +3.03 (3.84%) 29.90M
UWM 50.16 +2.24 (4.67%) 144.96M
QLD 73.07 +2.51 (3.56%) 1.11B
UNP 81.01 +4.43 (5.78%) 44.78B
NUE 59.20 +2.10 (3.68%) 18.56B
USB 30.02 +2.17 (7.79%) 52.26B

Friday, July 25, 2008


EMC 14.01 -0.08 (-0.57%) 29.01B
IBM 128.53 -1.47 (-1.13%) 176.53B
GE 28.71 0.00 (0.00%) 286.16B
T 31.40 -0.30 (-0.95%) 185.01B
ZF 4.23 +0.02 (0.48%) 384.41M
ZTR 4.22 +0.01 (0.24%) 476.57M
CAT 70.48 +0.70 (1.00%) 43.35B
WL 23.32 -0.28 (-1.19%) 1.57B
MO 21.07 +0.26 (1.25%) 44.13B
TWM 73.43 -0.66 (-0.89%) 1.11B
SM 44.39 +1.16 (2.68%) 2.73B
CHK 48.29 -0.77 (-1.57%) 27.70B
UYG 20.62 -0.28 (-1.34%) 1.71B
UYM 79.99 +3.06 (3.97%) 24.00M

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Larry CT

Thursday, July 24, 2008


We had a small retrace of the gains since last Tuesdays bottom and we were short today until 2:00pm and then we bought 90% long on the close in our TRADERS account.

So for those watching at home we are not only going to try to double our 200K this quarter ...we will try to triple it !!!

Stay tuned !!

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Wednesday, July 23, 2008


EMC 14.17 +1.71 (13.72%) 29.29B ************Some Options up 400% !!!!
IBM 129.52 -0.48 (-0.37%) 177.89B
GE 29.33 +0.83 (2.91%) 292.34B ******** Now up 10%
T 33.06 +1.24 (3.90%) 196.41B ******* Going to 50
ZF 4.30 +0.03 (0.70%) 391.75M
ZTR 4.30 +0.04 (0.94%) 489.43M
CAT 72.42 -2.56 (-3.41%) 44.55B
WL 25.25 0.00 (0.00%) 1.70B
MO 21.21 +0.61 (2.96%) 44.42B ***** Back on a roll

QCOM was sold

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Tuesday, July 22, 2008


Because we are TRADERS and we have the best of the best in data research and trading skills.

We were long 12 contracts futures and bought more on the lows and these stocks got us our double for the quarter with 6 weeks left.

Join today ..the special ends Sunday !!!

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HCBK 19.03 +1.05 (5.84%) 9.88B
EMC 12.44 +0.14 (1.14%) 25.72B
GLW 20.10 -0.42 (-2.05%) 31.66B
IBM 130.00 +1.34 (1.04%) 178.55B
GE 28.50 +0.81 (2.93%) 284.07B
T 31.82 -0.01 (-0.03%) 189.04B
ZF 4.27 +0.03 (0.71%) 390.81M
ZTR 4.26 +0.02 (0.47%) 490.49M
CAT 74.98 +1.75 (2.39%) 46.12B
QLD 71.50 -0.30 (-0.42%) 1.12B
WL 25.25 +1.74 (7.40%) 1.70B
MO 20.60 +0.33 (1.63%) 43.14B

QQQIR 200 contracts 2.08 -2.38 sold

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Monday, July 21, 2008


HCBK 18.29 -0.10 (-0.54%) 9.49B
EMC 12.32 -0.25 (-1.98%) 25.47B
GLW 20.54 +0.34 (1.68%) 32.35B
IBM 128.64 -1.25 (-0.96%) 176.68B
GE 27.76 -0.24 (-0.86%) 276.70B
T 31.90 -0.22 (-0.68%) 189.52B
ZF 4.24 -0.02 (-0.47%) 389.89M
ZTR 4.21 +0.12 (3.03%) 482.90M
CAT 73.26 +2.37 (3.34%) 45.06B
QLD 71.37 -0.37 (-0.52%) 1.05B
WL 23.94 -1.46 (-5.75%) 1.61B
MO 20.29 -0.16 (-0.78%) 42.49B
MRK 36.10 -1.58 (-4.19%) 77.49B
QCOM 45.37 +0.18 (0.40%) 73.44B

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Friday, July 18, 2008


Another double and still 6 weeks to go ! In a Bear market ..the naysayers say it can't be done ...we do it everyday !!!

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Thursday, July 17, 2008


If you were lucky enough to follow our moves you are quite a bit wealthier.

I woulde go into detail but the fact remains we are the lowest priced , highest quality verified service on the web.

I have given all updates and portfolios to my members and they were all 100% long for almost 700 Dow points !!!!

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Monday, July 14, 2008


Over the 32 years I have been actively trading the markets I have never seen pessimism as deep and as prevalent as now. I am talking 1972-75 type once in a lifetime ( now 2x) and we are now in need of patience.

Patience is hard at this stage as most have already thrown in the towel or made excuses blaming the government , brokers or newsletter writers. But the market is best at making the most people uncomfortable especially under these circumstances whereas people really don't know what is going on !

We have some good readings to go by but none are 100% but I have all my money riding on the US financial system...this market has thrown out the babies with the bathwater and will soon stabilize enough to round up the Bears and send them packing soon.

We continue to say that 90% long is the way to go here the panics and is time to make a stand here into the Fall.



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Friday, July 11, 2008

Friday, July 11, 2008

The Fed / Treasury will bail out FNM FRE and there will be no mid east war and the markets will soar as good earnings pileup now is the worst time to sell. If you stick with buying options 3-6 months out in the money or buying 2x ETF's or eve3n futures in here you will make big profits in the short term ...the markets have never been more geared up to rally since the 1987 Crash so take advantage of it and buy todays close.

The best way to play it for the lowest cost is to buy QLD calls at the money near todays close. Or you can buy the NQ futures or even the dreaded ER2 futures !!!
The fact is the "Smart Money is buying and the "Dumb Money" is getting a temporary break in the rumor driven Bear. Now is the time to SPECULATE.

Good news will happen and we are at the end of a fairly long Bear ...maybe one huge rally a retest late fall and wallah ! A new Bull..hang in there and keep trading..there are some great opportunities both for July Expiration and the long term !

FCX 105 calls has been our biggest winner this week but I am sure we will match those 50% gains with QLD calls next week.



Posted by TOMTHETRADER at 7/11/2008 11:58:00 AM

Comments (0)

Wednesday, July 9, 2008


Wednesday, July 09, 2008
If you do ...try this one on for size !!! Look at you calendar and mark down on July 4th 2008 the stock market hit it's most pessimistic time in known the Depression !All of these periods are marked as MARKET BOTTOMS many of you believe that we are now bottoming at 1250 cash SPX ???

Well take a look at the 14 key sentiment and technical indicators I do daily and for the longer term you should have a 100% chance that if you buy IBM or any major stock or index it will be higher in 3-6-9and 12 months out. You surely cannot just go out and spend your retirement on stocks just because TTT says it's OK to buy stocks and I am underinvested so here goes ! Trading Goddess says so well ...your Due Diligence is required but here is where I ahve all of mu funds and maybe just maybe 3 months from now we can look back and say ...yep ! That was a bottom !


Again these positions are held by my fund and we are 90% lONG AND 10% CASH FOR THE 1ST TIME SINCE MARCH !!!

Hope you stay on the right side of the market and even better get the Summer Rally so I can gain your trust here. Always look for the edge and "don't fight the FED"...Ben looks like he put the Greenspan put under the market at 1250...So let's see if the TAPE follows.

Best in Trading !!!


Tuesday, July 8, 2008


tomthetrader: Thanks ..I got a bad read / print
tomthetrader: Paulson Live on CNBC now
(3:06 PM) thomas_Poland: I hope for some corrections to go long
(3:06 PM) thomas_Poland: few nice ABC's would be great
tomthetrader: Now a new Bull from Ben and Hank ???
tomthetrader: they bought enough time ?
tomthetrader: is Tim and Doug short again ...yes !
(3:07 PM) oextrader77: lol - Tom
(3:08 PM) DE_TTT: Classic!
(3:08 PM) oextrader77: Go AAPL, you POS
(3:08 PM) causalityrules: ROFL
(3:08 PM) oextrader77: Making some dojo, huh Caus?
(3:08 PM) thomas_Poland: who is Doug?
(3:09 PM) thomas_Poland: I know Tim but Doug?
tomthetrader: Doug Kass
(3:09 PM) Fulkdaddy: Doug Kass. He actually is looking for a rally...GE was his tell.
tomthetrader: he is a perma bull gone long lately
tomthetrader: GE is acting very nice
(3:09 PM) thomas_Poland: 1274 resistance
tomthetrader: I bought it T IBM all the american stocks
(3:10 PM) thomas_Poland: hope we can react and go again to 1262 to go long
tomthetrader: Half-Life of a Bull
Well, that didn't last long. I sold my 1,000 DIA when the Dow was up 100 earlier today, and I bought a bunch of Russell puts (whose weakness still amazes me). So I'm pure bear again.
Unfortunately, I have limited access to my laptop today, so I'm probably going to forego a ton of potential day trading profits simply by being tied up. Grumble.
Hang on, tight, everyone! This is turning out to be quite a ride.
(3:10 PM) Alert: Message was not sent. The message was too long or contained non printable characters.
tomthetrader: Well, that didn't last long. I sold my 1,000 DIA when the Dow was up 100 earlier today, and I bought a bunch of Russell puts (whose weakness still amazes me). So I'm pure bear again.
tomthetrader: That was Tim Knight
tomthetrader: What a contrary indicator ???
(3:11 PM) oextrader77: rofl
tomthetrader: He continues to get jacked every day
(3:11 PM) thomas_Poland: I was affraid it is you speaking
(3:11 PM) DE_TTT: IWM puts...doh!!
(3:12 PM) thomas_Poland: he is pure bear and pure ......
(3:12 PM) thomas_Poland: anybody wants to finish?
(3:12 PM) thomas_Poland:
(3:12 PM) oextrader77: Too bad he didn't hold those $80,000 worth of calls from yesterday. Unbelievable.
tomthetrader: he is more amazed now being short via those puts
(3:12 PM) oextrader77: Time to take his money..............AGAIN
(3:12 PM) thomas_Poland: you forgot Tom he covered just in time
(3:13 PM) oextrader77: lol - Thomas
(3:13 PM) DE_TTT: yes...and miraculously compounding at 79% annualized...hmmm
(3:13 PM) thomas_Poland: LOL
(3:13 PM) oextrader77: I thought shorting that OIH incessantly wiped him out. But somehow he's still in the game.
(3:14 PM) thomas_Poland: OEX he sells a lot of books
(3:14 PM) oextrader77: Teaching other people how to lose or make money?
(3:14 PM) oextrader77: lol
(3:16 PM) thomas_Poland: I think we made int term bottom .. if not we will do it this week
(3:18 PM) thomas_Poland: can I say that we can go to 1370 int term?
(3:18 PM) thomas_Poland:
tomthetrader: I am afraid we are witnessing another bear market one day wonder ?
tomthetrader: seem to happen on tues or thurs over the past 6 monhts
(3:19 PM) thomas_Poland: short term I agree
tomthetrader: BAC up 7% ?
tomthetrader: with 7% dividend
tomthetrader: Banks are maybe showing a bottom .....
tomthetrader: but a U not V or W
tomthetrader: I am still on a BIG W
(3:20 PM) thomas_Poland: XLF resistance 20.37
tomthetrader: EMC is getting the Guy Adami Buy signal today ..look at the volume ?
tomthetrader: RUT OK But 700 was where we started ?
(3:24 PM) Trading_Goddess: that vol must have something to do with VMW - no? Strange
tomthetrader: .FCXHA
tomthetrader: 50 @ 8.60
(3:28 PM) thomas_Poland: official?
tomthetrader: YES
(3:28 PM) thomas_Poland: ok
tomthetrader: TG Do you like anything about EMC here ???
tomthetrader: VMW chief ...a young lady ousted ?
(3:30 PM) les13436: tom, cn you repeat the fcx info, i got logge off
tomthetrader: FCX long
tomthetrader: Trading Goddess ? anything you like about EMC ????
(3:32 PM) Trading_Goddess: no
tomthetrader: Not even the mega volume ???
(3:32 PM) Trading_Goddess: made good money on those Puts
(3:32 PM) Fulkdaddy: MA is a buy
tomthetrader: MA coming back from the dead with GS ???
(3:33 PM) Trading_Goddess: is that vol selling or buying?
(3:33 PM) Fulkdaddy: Sold my QQQQ calls for a tiny loss at 1:15. Bummer...
tomthetrader: oh its all buying !!!!!!!
(3:34 PM) Fulkdaddy: RIMM looks good
tomthetrader: I bought some
(3:35 PM) Trading_Goddess: The weekly energy inventories report comes out Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. EDT.
tomthetrader: I think I am going to add calls on UNP FCX and CAT
tomthetrader: I will be out of my 2x short oil !!!!!
(3:35 PM) Trading_Goddess: AA earnings after the bell
tomthetrader: DTO 24.65 +1.91 (8.40%)
tomthetrader: AA going to miss but get bought out by ACH ????
(3:38 PM) Trading_Goddess: don't know about getting bot out
tomthetrader: takeover rumors since the buyout craze but ...nothing lately
tomthetrader: FCX bought PD
tomthetrader: And BHP buying everyone ?
tomthetrader: should just buy FCX and hold for a takeover and AA for a takeover ...this fall /
tomthetrader: XLF of course leading the rally
(3:40 PM) Trading_Goddess: this "rally" doesn't have enough volume for me to feel comfortable going all long
(3:40 PM) oextrader77: Man, I love coin!!!
(3:41 PM) Trading_Goddess: okie doke, Tom
(3:42 PM) thomas_Poland: Tom .. in Zweig .. market can give no chance to get in at correction
(3:45 PM) Trading_Goddess: thanks, Tom
(3:45 PM) syzygy111: cboe pcr 1.05
tomthetrader: Today's reversal helps the bull case somewhat, not just because of the reversal (which is not always a good indicator), but because Banks are ratcheting higher and we're coming off of a tremendous oversold condition.
tomthetrader: I'm not intending to chase the rally, especially as we approach 1280ish on the S&P, but if we can add a bit more to this rally then settle back for a day or two without completely collapsing again, then I'll be looking to add some long exposure for a trade.
(3:48 PM) egyptian pyramids: hi
(3:48 PM) egyptian pyramids: hello for every body?
tomthetrader: Non members not alloweed please
(3:48 PM) egyptian pyramids: may i join u , please?
tomthetrader: No I am sorry ..members only
(3:49 PM) oextrader77: lol - Thomas, where are you? You are the ouster with the iron fist!!!
(3:49 PM) egyptian pyramids: i have a very good topic i wanna to tell u about it
tomthetrader: No thank you
(3:49 PM) oextrader77: LOL - Not interested.
(3:49 PM) egyptian pyramids: please
(3:49 PM) Trading_Goddess: lol!
(3:49 PM) thomas_Poland: I'm trying to stay calm
(3:49 PM) tomthetrader: tomthetrader has bounced egyptian pyramids from the chat room
tomthetrader: See ya !
(3:50 PM) oextrader77: Man, Tom, you don't play!!!
(3:50 PM) thomas_Poland: egyptian we don't want to hear your gayish topic
(3:50 PM) oextrader77: ROFL
(3:50 PM) thomas_Poland: ok
(3:50 PM) thomas_Poland: good job Tom
tomthetrader: so funny
tomthetrader: Thomas ..why do you do me like this ???
(3:50 PM) Trading_Goddess: we will never know the "very good topic" now!
(3:50 PM) thomas_Poland:
tomthetrader: Yes have won the egytian lottery !
(3:51 PM) thomas_Poland: we need passwords
(3:51 PM) Trading_Goddess: lol!
tomthetrader: Your money will be delivered via camel if you give me your bank account #
tomthetrader: HOD BULLS
(3:51 PM) oextrader77: lol
tomthetrader: too many bears
(3:51 PM) thomas_Poland: resistance 1274
tomthetrader: will close HOD and have FTD tomorrow on higher volume if REAL
(3:52 PM) thomas_Poland: we can go to 1262 to go long
tomthetrader: FCX coming back
(3:53 PM) thomas_Poland: yesterday and today classic 2B
(3:53 PM) thomas_Poland: 2B via Sperandeo
tomthetrader: UNPHO - AUG 2008 75 Call
3.6 +1.60 (+80.00%)

tomthetrader: Those are my UNP calls from this morning !!!!
(3:55 PM) oextrader77: Good job, Tom. Awesome work
tomthetrader: Thanks
tomthetrader: pretty good day overall but missed the big one ...NQ NDX QQQQ at 2:30pm
(3:57 PM) gerry204: thanks for FCX tom
tomthetrader: You bet
tomthetrader: hope we make a bunch
tomthetrader: stops in and take profits if you have too
(3:57 PM) youngamerican68_1: awesome calls today thanks
(3:58 PM) oextrader77: Like Tim Knight, I got out of my monster puts at the bottom and went long. Making that coin!!!
tomthetrader: Yes
tomthetrader: Thanks youngamerican
tomthetrader: hope we do well into tomorrow futures oernight
(3:58 PM) youngamerican68_1: in for 10 FCX calls
tomthetrader: Main fund OK up 4% +
(3:59 PM) PhotosbyDill: My USO spreads are now positive. Been away shooting familiy reunions so I hope all of you are doing very well. -- Gary
(3:59 PM) DE_TTT: IYR having shorts for lunch
tomthetrader: Thanks Gary ..we missed you and Max today
tomthetrader: AA now
tomthetrader: could help FCX
(4:00 PM) PhotosbyDill: After summer I will be trying to help more. Thanks Tom for all of your help!
tomthetrader: I am here 24/7
tomthetrader: 2-1 a/d line ..we finally got what i wanted
tomthetrader: Marcin was dead on Dave ????
(4:01 PM) Fulkdaddy: Yes, he was. He is sharp.
tomthetrader: Turnaround tuesday on the tuesday after 4th of july !!!!!
(4:02 PM) Fulkdaddy: How long should we get in the main fund?
(4:03 PM) thomas_Poland: I think we have a chance to short for a few (maybe 10 points)
(4:03 PM) PhotosbyDill: DBCSR Long Put now positive Not alot but some
(4:05 PM) Trading_Goddess: FCX red hammer on the daily? Anyone here a candlestick reader?
tomthetrader: There are some here come on don't be shy ???
(4:06 PM) thomas_Poland: Yes TG .. what do you want to know ? ?
(4:06 PM) thomas_Poland: kidding
tomthetrader: Please chime in ...or I will close down tomorrow ???
tomthetrader: I want to hear ???
(4:07 PM) thomas_Poland: but for me it is not a hammer
(4:07 PM) RV_trader: Agree with Thomas not a hammer
(4:08 PM) thomas_Poland: but strong close with a volume
(4:08 PM) RV_trader: was a bounce off physc 100 level and held above 200ma at the close - will chase it's tail back down for a retest if it holds
tomthetrader: Yes FCX candlesticks ??? please give us your thoughts ???
tomthetrader: TG what did you see ???
(4:09 PM) Fulkdaddy: Not sure about the hammer on FCX, but the chart looks like it borke out of a trading range to the downside so it does not look great. The hammer I saw was two days ago but it failed.
(4:09 PM) thomas_Poland: some can see HandS
(4:09 PM) thomas_Poland: but the target should be in
(4:10 PM) billb1947: it seems to me that the range is too large to be a true hammer
tomthetrader: good good ..keep it coming !!!!
(4:10 PM) youngamerican68_1: if you draw a trendline from the prior lows it appears many were scared out on the break. Now the price is trying to retake it
(4:10 PM) billb1947: but it does have a bottom tail that suggests some more up move
tomthetrader: good good
tomthetrader: more more
tomthetrader: AAeartnings ???
(4:11 PM) gerry204: I thought the bottom tail meant buying pressure
(4:11 PM) thomas_Poland: in a Wyckoff sense FCX could be a spring
(4:11 PM) youngamerican68_1: also closed above the 50% point of todays range
(4:11 PM) RV_trader: bottoming tail suggest that at some point during the day that the bears were in control and supply continued to come in until buyers found to to be fair value and bought at that demand area of 100
tomthetrader: TOP BULLISH

Symbol ISEE Puts Calls
FCX 62,235 1,613 1,003,855

tomthetrader: 1 million calls +
(4:13 PM) thomas_Poland: ok ok Tom .. it is oversold
(4:13 PM) thomas_Poland:
(4:13 PM) gerry204: that is huge
tomthetrader: Put/Call Data

Updated: 3:30 PM EST 07/08/08


Symbol ISEE Puts Calls
FCX 62,235 1,613 1,003,855
YHOO 9,838 774 76,146
MYGN 9,803 368 36,075

tomthetrader: swamped yhoo
tomthetrader: we get AA yet ???
tomthetrader: anyone AA yet ???
tomthetrader: Not thomas alcohol anonympous
(4:15 PM) thomas_Poland: I'm in AA .. 12 steps plan
(4:15 PM) thomas_Poland:
(4:15 PM) thomas_Poland: LOL
tomthetrader: 12 steps to your refrig
(4:15 PM) thomas_Poland: again thinking the same ?
(4:15 PM) thomas_Poland: yes
tomthetrader: GE was a Huge "tell" on this market
tomthetrader: Dave you out there ???
(4:17 PM) youngamerican68_1: im showing last AH trade on FCX at 105.40 782 shares
(4:17 PM) billb1947: looks to me like es might be starting to pull back a little-what do y'all think? - hhope this isn't a dummy question
(4:17 PM) thomas_Poland: we will go to 1262 cash
(4:17 PM) thomas_Poland: 74 cash resistance
(4:18 PM) Fulkdaddy: Yes
tomthetrader: ES ...will be OK ..I am happy here
(4:21 PM) thomas_Poland: Tom I think int term bottom is in
tomthetrader: Bill should hold up OK
tomthetrader: AA anyone ?
tomthetrader: I sent via Gary some FCX charts
(4:21 PM) billb1947: thx
tomthetrader: please let me know
tomthetrader: your welcome Bill
(4:22 PM) thomas_Poland: Tom do you really have to tell us about your alcohol problems?
(4:22 PM) thomas_Poland:
tomthetrader: AA up 1 % after hours
(4:22 PM) thomas_Poland: 1%
(4:22 PM) thomas_Poland: we drink 40%
(4:22 PM) thomas_Poland:
(4:22 PM) thomas_Poland: ok sorry
tomthetrader: Last Trade: 105.21 FCX
tomthetrader: 104.03 on the latest tick
tomthetrader: AA bad news ???
tomthetrader: BVN down
tomthetrader: 32.51 AA
tomthetrader: -88
tomthetrader: 32.50
tomthetrader: FCX floppingt
(4:27 PM) Alert: Time to talk to Giant's Wide Receiver Plaxico Burress on Sports Scene in Paltalk Studio A in the Radio/TV Section
tomthetrader: should have the new FCX charts
(4:28 PM) PhotosbyDill: Sorry guys I sent the weekly VIX-X but I sent FCX weekly to Tom
tomthetrader: Trading Goddess was right on the Red Hammer
tomthetrader: 32.60 AA
(4:29 PM) wclegg: AA out
tomthetrader: .66 v 64
tomthetrader: rev OK
tomthetrader: UP BIG there goes FCX
tomthetrader: GoFCX
tomthetrader: 106 FCX
(4:31 PM) gerry204: Tom, you are the man
(4:31 PM) youngamerican68_1: 106 ah
(4:31 PM) youngamerican68_1: holy smokes did you call that.. was so oversold to begin with just needed the spark
(4:31 PM) gerry204: unreal
(4:31 PM) Fulkdaddy: AA was good?
(4:32 PM) youngamerican68_1: beat by .02
(4:32 PM) gerry204: how did all those buyers know to buy calls??
tomthetrader: FCX 105.21 106.00 106.60 13,547,119
(4:33 PM) youngamerican68_1: with that volume was maybe institutional picking up huge size rather many traders?
tomthetrader: It had to be hedge funds
(4:34 PM) gerry204: 20 day avg vol around 9.9 mil
tomthetrader: AA we should have been in the calls like I recommended ..people are writing and calling me about the recom on AA ..I forgot I recommended AA and GE calls this week
(4:36 PM) pointfisher: thanks tom!
(4:36 PM) Fulkdaddy: Good night
(4:37 PM) gerry204: thank you
tomthetrader: Thanks to you all
(4:38 PM) oextrader77: Thanks Tom. Too much fun, as usual!!!
tomthetrader: Thank you ..great having you here
tomthetrader: Have to get Thomas more active ..only working part time and getting paid full
tomthetrader: Vodka is cheap date though for him ?
(4:40 PM) oextrader77: lol
(4:42 PM) PhotosbyDill: Have a good evening everyone -- Gary P.S. Watch FCX closely to fill ticks gap @ around 109 and then the weekly and daily charts indicate down and I would like to see daily money flow to increase rather than down as current
(4:42 PM) thomas_Poland: hmm
(4:42 PM) thomas_Poland: speaking about me agian
(4:42 PM) thomas_Poland: again
(4:42 PM) thomas_Poland:
(4:43 PM) thomas_Poland: have to go ... finish another bottle
(4:43 PM) thomas_Poland: bye
(4:44 PM) PhotosbyDill: Tom and everyone thanks off to work more on photography -- Gary
(4:48 PM) oextrader77: Check out the last volume spike on FCX.
tomthetrader: nice
(4:49 PM) gerry204: 477k in a minute
(4:50 PM) tradster_ny: AA conference call is in a few minutes

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Tuesday, July 08, 2008
We were looking at many ways to short the oil market and after months of saying 100 no 120 we finally took a stand and bought the DTO newly formed 2x ETF that has been up near 15% the past 5 sessions. When going with the DTO versus many easier more used route we got the unpredictable...and it paid off.

Sometimes the market "tells" include seasonality and with oil this time around it has done it's best to confound all. From a equity point of view you all saw that the XOM and OXY COP XLE were not keeping pace with OIL so this divergance led to the collapse and the big run in DTO.

So now for that Summer Rally that never appeared...we just cannot get enough PANIC in this market. The huge Bear Market rally ( 3rd largest of all time) made us all complacent and just now I am seeing on the ISEE that IWM puts ...the hallmark of a upcoming drop now peaking after most were not buying protection before the big event...get your minds out of the gutter...I am talking about protective puts before a market guys have been looking at the pictures here again !

Bottom line the A/D stinks ...oil is finally dropping with the CRB but stocks can't make much headway it just another Bear or is it Mama bear as it looks to me like there continues to be a shot at a rally or else another group of TRAPPED BULLS ???

Answer at 11:00pm !!!


Posted by TOMTHETRADER at 7/08/2008 12:12:00 PM

Thursday, July 3, 2008


It seems like the oil market will not go down matter how many try to call a top it seems we are destined to $150 and beyond. Food prices and just look at your next utility bill. The consumer is in big trouble and the economy is going to pay. Many so called experts have called for raising rates and a improving economy whle I continue to call for lower rates and recession.

How come I am bullish / I think this bear market will end ...but it may take new leadership in washington and another CRASH. Yes ...we will probably have a Crash as the market is setting up much like 1987. How do you crash proof your portfolio ?
We dodge in and out and when it is time to get short we go all in 2x ETF's and puts and futures short...when there is over pessimistic views we will stick them long.

For now we are 40% long in HCBK and DTO both are like hedges. Just in case we get a botttom in banks HCBK could double and if oil cracks DTO could double ...we will add our other 60% fighting the indices.

So happy 4th of July and thanksfor reading ..take advantage of our christmas In July sale whereas we have the lowest price ever to join.

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Have a great weekend

TRADERS UP 100% 10 quarters in a row !!!

Tuesday, July 1, 2008


What a day with TRADERS logging in verified profits from $400 to $225,000.00....That is right member made 4 trades today in the futures markets and bagged $225k.

Enough said ..if you can't spend the $75 for a membership and free December must not be interested in this market.

I am very interested as we made a tradable bottom today and I am expecting 1400 by August.

Want in ...join while the prices are so low.

You get a dozen updates and chat transcripts

PLUS MY 24/7 service e-mail IM

I am here for you.

We are in the 90% win area and have nearly doubled our money in 22 sessions ...simply astonishing !!!!

"Take a bow Tom...I have never seen a person trade a market with such precision and confidence have made my year just with this one day !!! Thanks TTT"

Brian Santa Anna CA

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I am HOT