Saturday, March 24, 2012

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Tuesday, March 20, 2012

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Tuesday, March 13, 2012

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Technical Talk: March 13, 2012

Our Current Take:

There are times, such as last fall, when the stock market game is incredibly difficult. And then there are other times when the game is fairly straightforward. The good news is that we are now experiencing the latter. The bottom line is simple - the trend is up and the indices are at new highs for the cycle. So, for today at least, the game is about staying onboard the bull trend.

We would consider being short-term buyers at: A close over 1374 on S&P 500

We would consider being short-term sellers: A close below 1357 on the S&P 500

Trend and Momentum Indicators:

Short-Term Trend: The s.t. trend is once again positive. And unless the bears make a big comeback today, it is likely to stay that way.

Intermediate-Term Trend: With the indices at new highs for the cycle, prices above their moving averages, and the moving averages also moving higher, it is safe to say that the intermediate-term trend remains positive.

Market Internals: Our TBC models are positive this morning and confirming the rally.

TBC = Trend-and-Breadth-Confirm Model
Market Momentum: Our momentum models are end-of-day based. As such, we will be looking at these indicators closely tomorrow to see if they confirm the bulls' latest efforts.

Support/Resistance Zones for S&P 500:


Current Support: 1340

Current Resistance: 1375
Early Warning Indicators:

Overbought/Oversold Condition: No surprise here... The market is once again overbought from both a short- and intermediate-term perspective.

Investor Sentiment: Sentiment is only modestly negative at the present time. We will be on the lookout for a return to extreme levels.



TIME TO JOIN TODAY

A complete set of trading data is available via Google spreadsheets at this link: Annual 2012 Spreadsheet.



Discussion of results:
Â"Overall we can not be more pleased with our results. The 2nd half of the year was clearly our strength, and although we missed on the 2x gains we strive for in the IRA, our Traders 4x performance more than made up the difference. The 2nd quarter presented some unique challenges, one of which was health, with that behind us we expect to be able to roll into 2012 and maintain the momentum we have from Q3 and Q4.Â" says Tom Malone, CEO Founder - TTTHedge.com

Â"Cathy Cullen, our Mini account trader continues to impress everyone, posting increasing gains each quarter while trading one of the most demanding and rewarding instruments, the TF Russell 2000 E-mini under the restrictions of being in cash each night. A remarkable accomplishment in a market that closed the year where it opened and presented a mid-year high on May 2nd and retracted.Â"

Â"I can not tell you what a joy it is each day to trade with our team members in the live room. The group we have now is tight and the team play and willingness to share amongst the traders makes us a powerhouse. Trading alone I would not have been able to put up numbers like these.. Trading is a team sport and if you havenÂ't found a team we invite you to have a look





Monday, March 12, 2012

TTT Talks 2011 INTO 2012

After a tumultuous year that was among the
most volatile on record, the domestic stock markets
survived a sluggish U.S. economy, a spreading
euro debt crisis, and a gridlocked Washington
to end 2011 virtually where they started.
Propelled by a fourth-quarter boost of
11.9%(1), the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial
Average closed the year at 12,217.56, an increase
of 5.6%(1), the third consecutive positive year for
the Dow. The S&P 500, a broader gauge of market
activity, climbed 11.1%(1) in the final quarter
and ended at 1,251.60, almost dead even with last
year’s 1,251.64 close. The technical 0.003%(1) difference
was its smallest annual move since 1970.
The technology heavy Nasdaq Composite gained
7.8%(1) in the fourth quarter but closed at
2,605.16, down 1.80%(1) for the year.
The lack-luster domestic stock markets still
outperformed the major international markets.
The Dow Jones Global Index, excluding the U.S.,
tumbled 16.3%(1) in 2011 while the STOXX Europe
600 Index fell 11.34%(1). U.K.’s FTSE
100 Index dipped 5.6%(1); Germany’s DAX Index
lost 15%(1), its first annual decline since 2008.
France’s CAC 40 dropped 17%(1) and Italy’s FTSE
MIB Index, down 26%(1), was the biggest loser.
Back home, the Federal Reserve (“Fed”)
reduced its forecasts for U.S. economic growth.
It predicted that the economy would grow 2.7%
in 2012, well below its June projections of 3.3% to
3.7%. For 2013, the Fed now expects expansion
of 3.2% down from its previous estimates of 3.5%
to 4.2%. The Fed projected a gain of up to 4% in
2014.
(1) Return excludes reinvested dividends.
For information regarding the indexes cited and key investment terms used in this report see page 6.
2
The Central Bank also predicts that the U.S.
unemployment rate will still be at least 8.5% at
the end of this year, at least 7.8% at the end of
2013 and at least 6.7% to 7.6% by the fourth
quarter of 2014.
There were several bright spots on the economic
horizon. For one thing, the Labor Department
reported that the private sector added
200,000 jobs in December, marking the sixth
consecutive month of gains topping 100,000. As a
result, the unemployment rate dipped to 8.5%
from November’s 8.7%, to its lowest level in
nearly three years.
Another positive note was the report by the
Institute of Supply Management (“ISM”) that U.S.
manufacturing expanded in December at its fastest
pace in six months. ISM’s closely watched
gauge of factory activity climbed to 53.9 in December,
up from 52.7 in November and its best
reading since last June. Scores over 50 indicate
expansion. The trade group also reported that its
index of non-manufacturing or service industries
rose to 52.6 in December from 52 in November,
which was the lowest reading in nearly two
years.
Housing, a vital factor in the economy, is
showing signs of recovery. The Commerce
Department reported that housing starts in
November reached 685,000 units, up 9.3% from
October and the highest level since April 2010.
Building permits increased 5.7% to an annual rate
of 681,000. The agency also reported that sales of
new single-family homes rose 1.8% in November
to a seasonally-adjusted 315,000 units, the
highest total in seven months.
The Conference Board reported that its consumer
confidence index spurted 10 points in
December to just above the level of a year ago.
Consumer spending, however, which accounts
for about 70% of U.S. economic activity, inched
up only 0.1% in November compared with
October, according to the Commerce
Department. Spending was restrained because
disposable personal income was flat in November
after increasing 0.3% in October.
Indications that inflation is slowing came
from the Labor Department report that its consumer
price index was unchanged in November
from October. Deleting volatile food and energy
prices, the index was up 2.7% in November. For
the year to date, the rise was 2.2%, slightly above
the Fed’s preferred range of 2%. The agency also
reported that its producer price index grew at a
seasonally-adjusted 0.3% in November. Removing
energy and food prices, the index was up by just
0.1%.
With U.S. imports declining more than exports,
the trade deficit narrowed to $43.5 billion
in October against $44.2 billion in September,
according to the Commerce Department. Exports
of goods totaled $127 billion in October
against $129.3 billion in September. Service exports
of $51.4 billion were unchanged from the
prior month. Imports of goods came to $186.6
billion for October against $188.8 billion in September.
Imports for services inched up to $36.1
billion from $36.0 billion. U.S. import prices,
which had fallen 0.5% in October, grew 0.7% in
November, the highest increase since April 2011.
Compared with most major market currencies,
the dollar ended 2011 within roughly 3% of
where it began the year. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index,
which measures the greenback against a
basket of other currencies, increased 1.5% in the
year. Hitting a new low in the final days of the
year, the euro closed at $1.2960. The chief exception
to the strong dollar was the yen. Despite
a year of deep trouble in Japan, the yen ended
more than 5% higher against the dollar. Climbing
from 81.25 yen at the start of the year, the dollar
fell to a record low near 75.8 yen in April and
completed the year at 76.92 yen.
Last year was a disappointment for deal
makers, with mergers and acquisitions declining
For information regarding the indexes cited and key investment terms used in this report see page 6.
3
after a strong start, according to Thomson Reuters.
In the first six months of 2011, announced
global deals came to $1.3 trillion, the highest
level since the financial crisis. However, deals
slumped 14% in the second half, bringing the
2011 dollar volume to $2.6 trillion, slightly below
the 2010 figure of $2.66 trillion.
The number of initial public offerings
(“IPOs”) and dollars raised was the lowest since
2009, according to Dealogic. Globally, there were
240 deals, raising $25.3 billion, in the fourth quarter,
the lowest deal volume since the third quarter
of 2009 and the lowest dollar volume since
the second quarter of 2009. For all of 2011, there
were 1,243 IPOs, raising $160 billion, again the
lowest figures since 2009. For the third consecutive
year, the world’s leading exchange for IPOs
was Hong Kong, with $31 billion in deals. The
volume of deals on the Chinese mainland slightly
topped the combined total of Nasdaq and the
New York Stock Exchange.
Based on current earnings estimates, Bloomberg
News reported that stocks on the S&P 500
were trading at a price/earnings ratio of 13.24 on
December 30, 2011. This compares with 11.94 on
September 30 and 14.88 on December 30 last
year. The P/Es for trailing twelve - month earnings
were reported by S&P at 12.96 on December
30, 13.01 on September 30 and 15.01 on December
30, 2010. As we see it, the P/E’s are neither
terribly high nor terribly low. Given present
market conditions, they appear to be in the normal
range as far as valuations are concerned.
The current consensus among Wall Street
research analysts is that S&P fourth-quarter
earnings will climb 8.3% in 2011 to $24.40,
according to Thomson Reuters. In October the
analysts were expecting 15% gains in the quarter.
For all of 2012, the S&P earnings are projected to
increase 10% to $107.20.
Looking to the future, both analysts and investors
were more bullish at the year’s end, with
analysts the most optimistic. Surveyed by Investors
Intelligence, analysts stood at 50% bulls and
29% bears on December 30, a reversal of their
position on September 30, which saw 37% bulls
and 41% bears. At the end of 2011, analysts came
to 56% bulls and 20% bears. Reported by the
American Institute of Investors, their members
totaled 41% bulls and 31% bears on December 30,
32% bulls and 47% bears on September 30, and
52% bulls and 20% bears at the end of 2010.
Since the market had risen since early October,
the increased optimism is no surprise.
They may be right. From August to October, our
sentiment indicators registered a lot of pessimism.
While some of our current indicators still
include some pretty bad numbers, our sentiment
model reading overall is now neutral.
Among our other models, the monetary reading
is bullish. That’s because the Fed has driven
interest rates to zero and is buying securities.
However, we wonder how bullish it can really be
when rates are at zero. As far as the tape is concerned,
we consider the current action quite positive.
It’s difficult to know the tape’s actual
performance because of the distortions caused
by the computer traders who account for more
than half of the volume. There are far more unusual
up and down days than we have seen in the
past. Taking a long view, the tape is acting reasonably
well.
Our stance on the market at this writing is
somewhat bullish and we are about 82% to 83%
long. For our Fund any investment figure over
80% is bullish.

TTT TURNS BULLISH IN BIG WAY BUY MS

Join today and get 10 positions guaranteed for 50% gains

Tom


tomandprisha@msn.com


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Tom The Trader

There is only 1 That is #1 for 9 years running

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Saturday, March 10, 2012

TTT TODAY

Thursday, March 08, 2012

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops
#SubscriberNotes have been updated now.
Note: a bucket shop is an unofficial and usually illegal betting operation in which the prices of stocks and commodities are posted and the customers bet on the rise and fall of prices without actually buying stock, commodities, or commodity futures. Today's stock trading has been divorced from its connection to true valuation of securities and is equivalent to a bucket shop operation.

Change From 20 Jan 2009 and 7 Mar 2012 To 8 Mar 2012 (ETF tickers in the table are links to Money Flow charts)
Security Percentage Change From 20 Jan 2009 Percentage Change From 7 Mar 2012 Change in DOW JONES Points
DOW JONES (index) +62.38% +0.55% +70.61
Diamonds Trust (DIA) +62.35% +0.54% +69.08
Ultra Dow 30 (DDM) +157.55% +1.11% +142.51
Ultrashort Dow 30 (DXD) -78.93% -1.10% -141.28
S&P 500 Index (index) +69.63% +0.98% +126.04
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +70.09% +0.99% +127.72
Ultra S&P 500 Proshares (SSO) +163.21% +1.98% +254.65
Ultrashort S&P 500 Proshares (SDS) -81.47% -1.95% -250.18
NYSE Composite (index) +59.79% +1.29% +165.04
NYSE 100 ETF (NYC) +60.23% +1.35% +173.67
S&P Smallcap 600 (index) +94.11% +1.17% +149.60
Ultra Smallcap600 (SAA) +194.03% +2.46% +315.47
Short Smallcap600 (SBB) -63.67% -1.39% -178.75
Ultrashort Smallcap600 (SDD) -59.55% -2.91% -372.93
CBOE RUSSELL 2000 INDEX (index) +85.94% +1.31% +167.57
Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +85.81% +1.30% +166.36
Ultra Russell 2000 (UWM) +170.36% +2.66% +342.03
Ultrashort Russell 2000 (TWM) -60.03% -2.73% -350.36
CBOE NASDAQ 100 INDEX (index) +132.02% +1.12% +144.38
Ultra QQQ (QLD) +359.24% +2.20% +282.68
Ultrashort QQQ Proshares (QID) -47.39% -2.24% -287.21
Midcap 400 Idx (index) +100.87% +1.22% +156.47
S&P Midcap 400 (IJH) +101.49% +1.20% +154.51
Ultra Midcap 400 (MVV) +234.62% +2.32% +298.41
Ultrashort Midcap 400 (MZZ) -88.92% -2.40% -308.00
Greenhaven Continuous Commodity (GCC) +45.89% +0.49% +62.36
AMEX Gold Miners (index) +73.88% +1.18% +151.07
Gold Miners ETF (GDX) · +1.23% +158.43
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X Shares (NUGT) · +3.77% +483.82
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X Shares (DUST) · -3.38% -434.25
SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) +95.55% +1.01% +129.45
Comex Gold Trust (IAU) -80.39% +0.91% +117.27
ETFs Physical Precious Metal ETF (GLTR) · +1.04% +133.46
ETFs White Metals Basket Trust (WITE) · +1.75% +225.01
ETFs Physical Swiss Gold Shares (SGOL) · +0.94% +120.78
Ultrashort Gold (GLL) -83.62% -1.93% -247.62
ETFs Silver Trust (SIVR) · +1.36% +174.47
Silver Trust (SLV) +196.21% +1.36% +174.28
ETFs Physical Platinum Shares (PPLT) · +1.63% +208.98
ETFs Physical Palladium Shares (PALL) · +2.06% +263.92
Ultra Gold (UGL) +206.55% +1.91% +245.53
DJ-UBS Platinum Tr Etn (PGM) +66.75% +1.77% +227.54
DB Gold Double Short Etn (DZZ) -82.96% -1.77% -227.71
DB Gold Double Long Etn (DGP) +218.92% +1.93% +247.73
Ultra Silver (AGQ) +100.03% +2.68% +344.52
Ultrashort Silver (ZSL) -94.41% -2.89% -371.17
Semiconductor Sector (index) +109.47% +1.14% +146.34
Ultra Semiconductors (USD) +262.79% +1.16% +149.02
Ultrashort Semiconductors (SSG) -59.57% -1.27% -163.04
DJ U.S. Financials (IYF) +76.63% +0.88% +112.65
Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT) +1.28% -1.00% -128.47
Barclays Tips Bond Fund (TIP) +18.83% -0.04% -5.42
Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund (IEF) +7.20% -0.30% -37.88
Barclays Aggregate Bond Fund (AGG) +6.94% -0.23% -29.05
Ultrashort and Short Proshares ETFs
Ultrashort Nasdaq Biotech (BIS) · -3.27% -419.16
Ultrashort Msci Brazil ETF (BZQ) · -3.14% -403.27
Ultrashort DJ-Aig Commodity (CMD) -62.75% +0.07% +9.52
Short Oil & Gas (DDG) -55.68% -0.65% -82.98
Short Dow 30 (DOG) -51.65% -0.55% -70.13
Ultrashort Oil & Gas (DUG) -21.69% -1.22% -156.48
Ultrashort Dow 30 (DXD) -78.93% -1.10% -141.28
Ultrashort Msci Emerging Markets (EEV) -62.77% -4.32% -554.31
Ultrashort Msci Eafe (EFU) -82.80% -4.34% -557.38
Short Msci Eafe (EFZ) -53.31% -2.17% -278.84
Ultrashort Msci Europe ETF (EPV) · -5.39% -692.47
Short Msci Emerging Markets (EUM) -67.95% -2.15% -276.21
Ultrashort Euro (EUO) -21.47% -1.84% -236.27
Ultrashort Msci Japan (EWV) -63.61% -2.59% -333.02
Swiss Franc (FXF) +24.82% +0.89% +114.46
Ultrashort Ftse China 25 (FXP) -52.34% -4.41% -566.05
Ultrashort Gold (GLL) -83.62% -1.93% -247.62
Ultrashort Msci Pacific Ex-Japan (JPX) · -2.89% -370.54
Short Kbw Regional Banking (KRS) · -0.23% -29.08
Short Midcap 400 (MYY) -63.16% -1.18% -151.73
Ultrashort Midcap 400 (MZZ) -88.92% -2.40% -308.00
Short QQQ (PSQ) -65.27% -1.10% -141.85
Ultrashort 7-10 Year Treasury (PST) -42.11% +0.69% +88.71
Ultrashort QQQ Proshares (QID) -47.39% -2.24% -287.21
Short Real Estate (REK) · +0.44% +56.15
Ultrashort Technology (REW) -56.94% -2.33% -299.01
Short Russell 2000 (RWM) -63.67% -1.28% -164.46
Ultrashort Health Care (RXD) -70.41% -2.27% -291.91
Short Smallcap600 (SBB) -63.67% -1.39% -178.75
Short Basic Materials (SBM) · -1.78% -228.55
Ultrashort Consumer Services (SCC) -86.76% -1.82% -233.58
Ultrashort DJ-Aig Crude Oil (SCO) -83.03% -1.03% -131.58
Ultrashort Smallcap600 (SDD) -59.55% -2.91% -372.93
Ultrashort Russell Midcap Growth (SDK) -58.26% -2.73% -350.17
Ultrapro Short Dow 30 (SDOW) · -1.66% -212.54
Ultrashort Utilities (SDP) -28.94% -1.57% -202.10
Ultrashort S&P 500 Proshares (SDS) -81.47% -1.95% -250.18
Short Financials (SEF) -69.01% -0.99% -127.10
Ultrashort Russell 1000 Growth (SFK) -83.70% -2.99% -384.20
Short S&P500 (SH) -54.02% -0.99% -127.38
Ultrashort Industrials (SIJ) -49.25% -2.98% -382.87
Short High Yield (SJB) · -0.83% -106.27
Ultrashort Financials (SKF) -76.90% -1.92% -246.03
Ultrashort Russell 2000 Growth (SKK) -62.60% -3.13% -401.99
Ultrapro Short Midcap 400 (SMDD) · -3.55% -456.00
Ultrashort Basic Materials (SMN) -64.88% -3.25% -416.95
Ultrapro Short S&P500 (SPXU) · -3.01% -386.37
Ultrapro Short QQQ (SQQQ) · -3.35% -430.58
Ultrashort Real Estate (SRS) -54.75% +0.69% +88.12
Ultrapro Short Russell 2000 (SRTY) · -3.83% -491.32
Ultrashort Semiconductors (SSG) -59.57% -1.27% -163.04
Ultrashort Consumer Goods (SZK) -77.42% -1.81% -232.29
Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBF) · +1.03% +132.55
Ultrashort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) -52.05% +2.06% +264.20
Ultrashort Tips (TPS) +184.08% +0.21% +26.87
Ultrashort Russell 2000 (TWM) -60.03% -2.73% -350.36
Ultrashort Russell 3000 (TWQ) · -0.45% -57.88
Ultrashort Yen (YCS) -27.76% +0.95% +121.75
Short Ftse China 25 (YXI) · -2.00% -256.25
Ultrashort Silver (ZSL) -94.41% -2.89% -371.17
Corporate Bond ETFs
Tm Corporate Bond Fund (LQD) +16.52% +0.02% +2.20
Barclays Credit Bond Fund (CFT) +14.94% -0.12% -15.09
Barclays Intermediate Credit Bond Fund (CIU) +10.51% 0.00% 0.00
Municipal Bond ETFs
S&P National Muni Bond Fund (MUB) +9.35% -0.14% -17.54
Intermediate Muni Index ETF (ITM) +10.67% -0.13% -16.70
Barclays S/T Muni Bd (SHM) +2.95% +0.12% +15.77
International Bond ETFs
Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt (PCY) +31.75% +0.46% +59.24
Barclays Intl Treasury Bond (BWX) +17.20% +0.60% +77.26
JP Morgan Em Bond Fd (EMB) +35.69% +0.45% +57.84
Other Bond ETFs
Barclays 1-3 Year Treasury Bond Fund (SHY) -0.26% -0.04% -4.57
Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) +0.04% +0.02% +2.80
Barclays 3-7 Year Treasury Bond Fund (IEI) +5.21% -0.15% -18.94
Barclays Long Term Treasury (TLO) +9.37% -0.88% -113.15
1-30 Treasury Ladder Portfolio (PLW) +4.99% -0.69% -88.28
Barclays Credit Bond Fund (CFT) +14.94% -0.12% -15.09
High-Yield Bond ETFs
High Yield Corporate Bond (PHB) +14.07% +0.27% +34.21
Iboxx $ Hy Corp Bond Fund (HYG) +21.30% +0.78% +99.96
SPDR High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) +28.12% +0.81% +104.61
ProShares Short ETFs
Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBF) · +1.03% +132.55
Short Basic Materials (SBM) · -1.78% -228.55
Short Dow 30 (DOG) -51.65% -0.55% -70.13
Short Financials (SEF) -69.01% -0.99% -127.10
Short Ftse China 25 (YXI) · -2.00% -256.25
Short High Yield (SJB) · -0.83% -106.27
Short Kbw Regional Banking (KRS) · -0.23% -29.08
Short Midcap 400 (MYY) -63.16% -1.18% -151.73
Short Msci Eafe (EFZ) -53.31% -2.17% -278.84
Short Msci Emerging Markets (EUM) -67.95% -2.15% -276.21
Short Oil & Gas (DDG) -55.68% -0.65% -82.98
Short QQQ (PSQ) -65.27% -1.10% -141.85
Short Real Estate (REK) · +0.44% +56.15
Short Russell 2000 (RWM) -63.67% -1.28% -164.46
Short S&P500 (SH) -54.02% -0.99% -127.38
Short Smallcap600 (SBB) -63.67% -1.39% -178.75
Ultrapro Short Dow 30 (SDOW) · -1.66% -212.54
Ultrapro Short Midcap 400 (SMDD) · -3.55% -456.00
Ultrapro Short QQQ (SQQQ) · -3.35% -430.58
Ultrapro Short Russell 2000 (SRTY) · -3.83% -491.32
Ultrapro Short S&P500 (SPXU) · -3.01% -386.37
Ultrashort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) -52.05% +2.06% +264.20
Ultrashort 7-10 Year Treasury (PST) -42.11% +0.69% +88.71
Ultrashort Basic Materials (SMN) -64.88% -3.25% -416.95
Ultrashort Consumer Goods (SZK) -77.42% -1.81% -232.29
Ultrashort Consumer Services (SCC) -86.76% -1.82% -233.58
Ultrashort DJ-Aig Commodity (CMD) -62.75% +0.07% +9.52
Ultrashort DJ-Aig Crude Oil (SCO) -83.03% -1.03% -131.58
Ultrashort Dow 30 (DXD) -78.93% -1.10% -141.28
Ultrashort Euro (EUO) -21.47% -1.84% -236.27
Ultrashort Financials (SKF) -76.90% -1.92% -246.03
Ultrashort Ftse China 25 (FXP) -52.34% -4.41% -566.05
Ultrashort Gold (GLL) -83.62% -1.93% -247.62
Ultrashort Health Care (RXD) -70.41% -2.27% -291.91
Ultrashort Industrials (SIJ) -49.25% -2.98% -382.87
Ultrashort Midcap 400 (MZZ) -88.92% -2.40% -308.00
Ultrashort Msci Brazil ETF (BZQ) · -3.14% -403.27
Ultrashort Msci Eafe (EFU) -82.80% -4.34% -557.38
Ultrashort Msci Emerging Markets (EEV) -62.77% -4.32% -554.31
Ultrashort Msci Europe ETF (EPV) · -5.39% -692.47
Ultrashort Msci Japan (EWV) -63.61% -2.59% -333.02
Ultrashort Msci Pacific Ex-Japan (JPX) · -2.89% -370.54
Ultrashort Nasdaq Biotech (BIS) · -3.27% -419.16
Ultrashort Oil & Gas (DUG) -21.69% -1.22% -156.48
Ultrashort QQQ Proshares (QID) -47.39% -2.24% -287.21
Ultrashort Real Estate (SRS) -54.75% +0.69% +88.12
Ultrashort Russell Midcap Growth (SDK) -58.26% -2.73% -350.17
Ultrashort Russell 1000 Growth (SFK) -83.70% -2.99% -384.20
Ultrashort Russell 2000 (TWM) -60.03% -2.73% -350.36
Ultrashort Russell 2000 Growth (SKK) -62.60% -3.13% -401.99
Ultrashort Russell 3000 (TWQ) · -0.45% -57.88
Ultrashort S&P 500 Proshares (SDS) -81.47% -1.95% -250.18
Ultrashort Semiconductors (SSG) -59.57% -1.27% -163.04
Ultrashort Silver (ZSL) -94.41% -2.89% -371.17
Ultrashort Smallcap600 (SDD) -59.55% -2.91% -372.93
Ultrashort Technology (REW) -56.94% -2.33% -299.01
Ultrashort Tips (TPS) +184.08% +0.21% +26.87
Ultrashort Utilities (SDP) -28.94% -1.57% -202.10
Ultrashort Yen (YCS) -27.76% +0.95% +121.75
ProShares ETFs
Ultrashort Russell 3000 (TWQ) · -0.45% -57.88
Ultrashort 7-10 Year Treasury (PST) -42.11% +0.69% +88.71
Ultrashort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) -52.05% +2.06% +264.20
Short QQQ (PSQ) -65.27% -1.10% -141.85
Short Dow 30 (DOG) -51.65% -0.55% -70.13
Short S&P500 (SH) -54.02% -0.99% -127.38
Short Midcap 400 (MYY) -63.16% -1.18% -151.73
Short Smallcap600 (SBB) -63.67% -1.39% -178.75
Short Russell 2000 (RWM) -63.67% -1.28% -164.46
Ultrashort QQQ Proshares (QID) -47.39% -2.24% -287.21
Ultrashort Dow 30 (DXD) -78.93% -1.10% -141.28
Ultrashort S&P 500 Proshares (SDS) -81.47% -1.95% -250.18
Ultrashort Midcap 400 (MZZ) -88.92% -2.40% -308.00
Ultrashort Smallcap600 (SDD) -59.55% -2.91% -372.93
Ultrashort Russell 2000 (TWM) -60.03% -2.73% -350.36
Ultrashort Russell 1000 Growth (SFK) -83.70% -2.99% -384.20
Ultrashort Russell Midcap Growth (SDK) -58.26% -2.73% -350.17
Ultrashort Russell 2000 Growth (SKK) -62.60% -3.13% -401.99
Ultrashort Basic Materials (SMN) -64.88% -3.25% -416.95
Ultrashort Consumer Goods (SZK) -77.42% -1.81% -232.29
Ultrashort Consumer Services (SCC) -86.76% -1.82% -233.58
Ultrashort Financials (SKF) -76.90% -1.92% -246.03
Ultrashort Health Care (RXD) -70.41% -2.27% -291.91
Ultrashort Industrials (SIJ) -49.25% -2.98% -382.87
Ultrashort Oil & Gas (DUG) -21.69% -1.22% -156.48
Ultrashort Real Estate (SRS) -54.75% +0.69% +88.12
Ultrashort Semiconductors (SSG) -59.57% -1.27% -163.04
Ultrashort Technology (REW) -56.94% -2.33% -299.01
Ultrashort Utilities (SDP) -28.94% -1.57% -202.10
Short Msci Emerging Markets (EUM) -67.95% -2.15% -276.21
Short Msci Eafe (EFZ) -53.31% -2.17% -278.84
Ultrashort Msci Eafe (EFU) -82.80% -4.34% -557.38
Ultrashort Msci Emerging Markets (EEV) -62.77% -4.32% -554.31
Ultrashort Msci Japan (EWV) -63.61% -2.59% -333.02
Ultrashort Ftse China 25 (FXP) -52.34% -4.41% -566.05
Ultra QQQ (QLD) +359.24% +2.20% +282.68
Ultra Dow 30 (DDM) +157.55% +1.11% +142.51
Ultra S&P 500 Proshares (SSO) +163.21% +1.98% +254.65
Ultra Midcap 400 (MVV) +234.62% +2.32% +298.41
Ultra Smallcap600 (SAA) +194.03% +2.46% +315.47
Ultra Russell 2000 (UWM) +170.36% +2.66% +342.03
Ultra Russell 1000 Value (UVG) +130.50% +1.46% +187.80
Ultra Russell 1000 Growth (UKF) +212.89% +1.09% +139.54
Ultra Russell Midcap Value (UVU) +199.05% +2.83% +363.49
Ultra Russell Midcap Growth (UKW) +269.95% +2.35% +302.06
Ultra Russell 2000 Value (UVT) +122.81% +2.50% +320.70
Ultra Russell 2000 Growth (UKK) +214.85% +2.91% +373.21
Ultra Basic Materials (UYM) +214.27% +3.28% +421.53
Ultra Consumer Services (UCC) +268.62% +1.77% +227.75
Ultra Financials ETF (UYG) +1946.52% +1.82% +233.96
Ultra Health Care (RXL) +104.27% +2.55% +327.87
Ultra Industrials (UXI) +179.51% +2.93% +375.86
Ultra Oil & Gas (DIG) +105.71% +1.18% +152.06
Ultra DJ-Aig Crude Oil (UCO) +357.72% +1.13% +145.02
Ultra Real Estate ETF (URE) +1334.67% -0.75% -95.95
Ultra Semiconductors (USD) +262.79% +1.16% +149.02
Ultra Technology (ROM) +321.89% +2.17% +278.86
Ultra Utilities (UPW) +68.51% +1.05% +135.10
Japan ETFs
MSCI Japan (EWJ) +19.10% +1.72% +221.11
SPDR Russell/Nomura Prime Japan ETF (JPP) +16.28% +1.70% +218.62
S&P/Topix 150 (ITF) +17.49% +1.97% +252.31
Japan Smallcap Fund (DFJ) +31.96% +1.01% +129.90
SPDR Russell/Nomura Small Cap Japan (JSC) +33.13% +0.80% +103.31
MSCI Japan Sm Cap (SCJ) +30.41% +0.83% +106.09
Japan Total Dividend Fund (DXJ) +5.02% +1.94% +249.65
China ETFs, Broad Based
Direxion China Bull 3X Shares (YINN) · +4.73% +607.78
Direxion China Bear 3X Shares (YANG) · -5.84% -749.10
Ftse-Xinhua China 25 (FXI) +63.48% +2.35% +301.30
S&P China ETF (GXC) +88.40% +1.93% +248.25
Golden Dragon Halter Usx China (PGJ) +74.96% +1.88% +241.33
Guggenheim China All-Cap ETF (YAO) · +1.98% +254.20
Ishares Msci China Index Fund (MCHI) · +2.46% +315.51
First Trust China Alphadex Fund (FCA) · +1.78% +228.32
China ETFs, Specialty
MSCI Hong Kong (EWH) +88.60% +1.42% +182.24
FTSE China [Hk Listed] (FCHI) +69.96% +1.90% +243.85
China ETF (PEK) · +2.37% +304.22
MSCI China Small Cap Index Fund ETF (ECNS) · +3.10% +398.57
Guggenheim China Small Cap Index ETF (HAO) +99.40% +2.87% +367.91
China ETFs, Sector
Emerging Indxx China Infrastructure (CHXX) · +2.80% +359.45
Guggenheim China Real Estate ETF (TAO) +91.45% +2.20% +282.22
Guggenheim China Technology ETF (CQQQ) · +1.49% +191.84
Global X China Consumer ETF (CHIQ) · +2.35% +301.27
Global X China Energy ETF (CHIE) · +0.99% +126.83
Global X China Financials ETF (CHIX) · +2.34% +300.09
Global X China Industrials ETF (CHII) · +1.95% +250.89
Global X China Materials ETF (CHIM) · +8.17% +1048.22
China ETFs, Leveraged
Direxion China Bull 3X Shares (YINN) · +4.73% +607.78
Direxion China Bear 3X Shares (YANG) · -5.84% -749.10
Short Ftse China 25 (YXI) · -2.00% -256.25
Ultrashort Ftse China 25 (FXP) -52.34% -4.41% -566.05
China ETFs, Currency
Vectors Chinese Renminbi/Usd Etn (CNY) +3.54% +0.05% +6.27
Dreyfus Chinese Yuan Fund (CYB) +1.44% +0.08% +10.12
Other ETFs
Nasdaq Internet Portfolio (PNQI) +219.82% +1.59% +204.55
DB Base Metals Double Short Etn (BOM) -83.41% -1.75% -224.84
DB Base Metals Double Long Etn (BDD) +142.80% +1.20% +154.05
DB Base Metals Short Etn (BOS) -54.81% -0.85% -109.23
DB Crude Oil Double Short Etn (DTO) -80.87% -0.96% -122.60
DB Crude Oil Short Etn (SZO) -49.13% -0.05% -6.79
DB Crude Oil Long Etn (OLO) +66.67% +1.06% +135.67
S&P GSCI Crude Oil Tr Etn (OIL) +41.90% +0.45% +57.18
DJ-UBS Natural Gas Tr Etn (GAZ) -78.61% -2.27% -291.76
DJ-UBS Energy Tr Etn (JJE) -21.80% +1.17% +150.54
Agribusiness ETF (MOO) +100.62% +1.54% +198.27
Global Agriculture Portfolio (PAGG) +89.88% +1.76% +226.23
Global Clean Energy Portfolio (PBD) -15.49% +2.24% +288.16
DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) +14.33% +0.32% +40.70
DJ-UBS Agriculture Tr Etn (JJA) +34.75% -0.21% -26.39
Rogers Intl Comm Agri Etn (RJA) +23.90% +0.11% +14.33
DJ-UBS Coffee Tr Etn (JO) +28.21% +0.63% +80.56
DJ-UBS Cocoa Tr Etn (NIB) -16.58% +3.16% +405.91
DJ-UBS Cotton Tr Etn (BAL) +94.75% -0.99% -126.73
DOW Jones-UBS Sugar Tr Etn (SGG) +103.48% +0.36% +45.86
DJ-UBS Grains Tr Etn (JJG) +14.14% -0.11% -14.03
DJ-UBS Copper Tr Etn (JJC) +134.78% +0.83% +106.07
DJ-UBS Nickel Tr Etn (JJN) +59.56% -2.79% -358.66
DJ-UBS Tin Tr Etn (JJT) +113.53% +3.24% +416.14
Euro Currency Trust (FXE) +2.45% +0.92% +117.70
Ultra Euro (ULE) +0.04% +1.75% +225.12
Ultrashort Euro (EUO) -21.47% -1.84% -236.27
Ultra Yen (YCL) +10.83% -1.13% -145.25
Ultrashort Yen (YCS) -27.76% +0.95% +121.75
DB Usd Index Bullish (UUP) -15.61% -0.68% -86.74
DB Usd Index Bearish (UDN) +10.04% +0.70% +90.04
Advisorshares Active Bear ETF (HDGE) · -1.75% -224.68
Ultrashort DJ-Aig Commodity (CMD) -62.75% +0.07% +9.52
MSCI Emerging Markets (VWO) +115.61% +2.20% +281.98
Classic ETFs
Market Vectors Biotech ETF (BBH) -74.82% +1.76% +225.54
Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) +75.39% +1.71% +218.97
Cohen & Steers Realty Majors (ICF) +111.99% -0.65% -83.20
DJ U.S. Utilities (IDU) +28.16% +0.54% +68.80
Goldman Sachs Natural Resources (IGE) +78.43% +1.11% +142.08
Goldman Sachs Technology (IGM) +116.84% +1.15% +147.07
Goldman Sachs Network (IGN) +85.49% +0.94% +120.74
Goldman Sachs Software (IGV) +114.50% +1.44% +185.09
S&P Midcap 400/Barra Value (IJJ) +84.68% +1.18% +151.88
S&P Midcap 400/Barra Growth (IJK) +118.59% +1.17% +150.06
S&P Smallcap 600 (IJR) +93.73% +1.12% +144.10
Small Cap 600/Barra Value (IJS) · +1.05% +135.29
Small Cap 600/Barra Growth (IJT) +104.00% +1.28% +163.83
S&P 500/Barra Value (IVE) +63.10% +0.96% +123.04
Russell 1000 ETF (IWB) +73.43% +0.92% +117.65
Russell 1000 Value ETF (IWD) +60.98% +0.90% +115.29
Russell 1000 Growth ETF (IWF) +86.72% +1.05% +135.28
Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +85.81% +1.30% +166.36
Russell 2000 Value ETF (IWN) +68.85% +1.09% +139.54
Russell 2000 Growth ETF (IWO) · +1.49% +191.69
Russell Midcap Growth ETF (IWP) +111.33% +1.23% +158.38
Russell Midcap ETF (IWR) +98.92% +1.15% +147.16
Russell Midcap Value (IWS) +86.82% +0.96% +123.59
Russell 3000 ETF ETF (IWV) +74.60% +1.00% +127.78
Russell 3000 Value ETF (IWW) +61.33% +0.95% +121.42
Russell 3000 Growth ETF (IWZ) +87.98% +1.10% +141.21
S&P Global Energy ETF (IXC) +54.42% +1.31% +167.99
S&P Global Financial ETF (IXG) +65.01% +2.39% +306.48
S&P Global Healthcare ETF (IXJ) +37.82% +1.42% +182.53
S&P Global Technology ETF (IXN) +96.82% +1.26% +161.89
S&P Global Telecommunications ETF (IXP) +25.45% +1.23% +157.40
DJ U.S. Consumer (IYC) +102.49% +0.94% +120.08
DJ U.S. Oil And Gas Fund (IYE) +63.26% +0.59% +75.44
DJ U.S. Financial Services (IYG) +82.64% +1.59% +204.08
DJ U.S. Health Care (IYH) +47.40% +1.25% +160.23
DJ U.S. Industrials (IYJ) +81.37% +1.42% +182.25
DJ U.S. Consumer Goods (IYK) +64.81% +1.02% +130.81
DJ U.S. Basic Materials Index (IYM) +105.55% +1.59% +204.07
DJ U.S. Real Estate (IYR) +101.30% -0.23% -29.77
DJ Transportation Average (IYT) +73.91% +1.46% +186.91
DJ U.S. Technology (IYW) · +1.08% +138.09
DJ U.S. Total Market (IYY) +74.75% +0.98% +125.99
DJ U.S. Telecommunications (IYZ) +45.61% +0.73% +93.11
Morningstar Large Core (JKD) +63.16% +1.09% +140.01
Morningstar Large Growth (JKE) +94.57% +1.29% +165.72
Morningstar L V I (JKF) +43.75% +0.53% +68.50
Morningstar Mid Core (JKG) +107.25% +1.37% +175.29
Morningstar Mid Growth (JKH) +113.53% +1.17% +150.03
Morningstar Mid Value (JKI) · +1.33% +170.42
Morningstar Small Core (JKJ) +104.25% +1.33% +170.60
Morningstar Small Value (JKL) +103.71% +1.24% +159.42
Midcap Spdr (MDY) +101.25% +1.15% +147.00
NYSE Composite (NY) +49.27% +1.02% +131.24
S&P 100 ETF (OEF) +62.80% +0.87% +112.30
Market Vectors Oil Services ETF (OIH) -36.90% +1.92% +246.05
Fidelity Nasdaq Composite (ONEQ) +105.11% +1.11% +142.87
S&P Equal Weight ETF (RSP) +103.33% +1.20% +153.59
Market Vectors Semiconductor Et (SMH) +107.85% +0.92% +117.60
SPDR Fund - Basic Industries (XLB) +72.21% +1.67% +213.78
SPDR Fund - Energy Sector (XLE) +68.54% +0.81% +104.57
SPDR Fund - Financial (XLF) +82.80% +0.96% +122.85
SPDR Fund - Industrial (XLI) +77.51% +1.43% +183.29
SPDR Fund - Technology (XLK) +102.72% +1.01% +129.44
SPDR Fund - Consumer Staples (XLP) +47.09% +0.69% +89.12
SPDR Fund - Utilities (XLU) +23.35% +0.32% +40.44
SPDR Fund - Health Care (XLV) +42.82% +1.11% +142.96
SPDR Fund - Consumer Discretionary (XLY) +125.41% +1.02% +130.48
300% Leverage Bear ETFs
Direxion Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (SOXS) · -4.31% -553.12
Direxion China Bear 3X Shares (YANG) · -5.84% -749.10
Direxion Daily Agribusiness Bea (COWS) · -5.40% -692.58
Direxion Daily Basic Materials (MATS) · -4.48% -575.17
Direxion Energy Bear 3X Shares (ERY) -79.19% -1.61% -207.28
Direxion Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ) -97.14% -2.70% -347.22
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bear (SICK) · -4.04% -518.49
Direxion Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (DRV) · +1.28% +164.27
Direxion Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (SOXS) · -4.31% -553.12
Direxion Technology Bear 3X Shares (TYP) -86.50% -3.23% -414.50
Direxion China Bear 3X Shares (YANG) · -5.84% -749.10
Developed Markets Bear 3X Shares (DPK) -73.70% -6.51% -835.65
Direxion Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares (EDZ) -87.04% -6.40% -822.14
Direxion Latin America Bear 3X Shares (LHB) · -5.55% -712.57
Direxion Daily Russia Bear 3X S (RUSS) · -7.88% -1011.16
Direxion 10-Yr Treasury Bear 3X Shrs (TYO) · +0.89% +113.65
Direxion 30-Yr Treasury Bear 3X Shrs (TMV) · +2.99% +383.34
Ultrapro Short S&P500 (SPXU) · -3.01% -386.37
300% Leverage Bull ETFs
Direxion Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) · +4.26% +546.94
Direxion China Bull 3X Shares (YINN) · +4.73% +607.78
Direxion 10-Yr Treasury Bull 3X Shrs (TYD) · -0.97% -124.38
Direxion 10-Yr Treasury Bear 3X Shrs (TYO) · +0.89% +113.65
Direxion 30-Yr Treasury Bull 3X Shrs (TMF) · -3.02% -387.20
Direxion 30-Yr Treasury Bear 3X Shrs (TMV) · +2.99% +383.34
Direxion Large Cap Bull 3X Shares (BGU) +204.86% +3.06% +393.01
Direxion Large Cap Bear 3X Shares (BGZ) -71.55% -3.10% -398.54
Direxion Mid Cap Bull 3X Shares (MWJ) -2.40% +3.21% +411.64
Direxion Mid Cap Bear 3X Shares (MWN) -71.23% -3.42% -438.56
Direxion Small Cap Bull 3X Shares (TNA) +154.79% +3.93% +504.25
Direxion Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (TZA) -70.45% -4.05% -519.50
Direxion Energy Bull 3X Shares (ERX) +83.81% +1.60% +205.96
Direxion Energy Bear 3X Shares (ERY) -79.19% -1.61% -207.28
Direxion Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) +620.23% +2.63% +338.05
Direxion Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ) -97.14% -2.70% -347.22
Direxion Technology Bull 3X Shares (TYH) +31.11% +3.21% +411.99
Direxion Technology Bear 3X Shares (TYP) -86.50% -3.23% -414.50
Developed Markets Bull 3X Shares (DZK) +18.53% +6.28% +806.21
Developed Markets Bear 3X Shares (DPK) -73.70% -6.51% -835.65
Direxion Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares (EDC) +233.18% +6.35% +815.11
Direxion Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares (EDZ) -87.04% -6.40% -822.14
Ultrapro S&P 500 (UPRO) · +3.00% +384.98
Ultrapro Short S&P500 (SPXU) · -3.01% -386.37




Tuesday, March 6, 2012

NEW SPECIALS FOR PROFESSIONAL TRADERS

For those whom need more than a blog , please go to http://www.ttthedge.com for all the services and professional options. For Blog updates on my plays each week you can join below. I try to update when I can and after 36 years...when I talk...people listen. TOP will be retested ...join TTT HEDGE FOR THE RALLY

Tom



Friday, March 2, 2012

BUY SPXU AND SQQQ

A Remarkable Run



From a number of different perspectives, the market environment we're in now is remarkable.



At various points in the past six weeks, the broader market has shrugged off bouts of extreme sentiment, negative seasonality, egregiously negative breadth divergences and a host of negative price patterns.



This stretch is similar to several others we've seen since the 2009 bear market low.



If we levitate again tomorrow, then the S&P 500 will have enjoyed 50 consecutive days without closing below its 20-day moving average.

In April 2010 the streak lasted 49 days.

In November 2010 the streak lasted 52 days.

In January/February 2011 the streak lasted 40 days, but there was only 1 close below the 20-day. Ignoring that, the streak lasted 57 days.

So we're bumping up against the max number of days buyers were able to sustain the streak.



In addition, as of Tuesday the S&P had managed to eek out 35 positive closes during the past 50 days. The index also reached 35 positive out of 50 trading days on 01/11/10, 4/19/10 and 2/10/11, indicated by the red arrows in the chart to the right.



The last two also coincided with long streaks above the 20-day average as noted above. All three of them saw the market top out almost immediately.